BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LCUT
Lifetime Brands, Inc.
LCUT has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LCUT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LCUT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
LCUT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 6x | $7.72 | — |
| Cheap | 7.4x | $9.57 | +24% |
| Forward | 9.3x | $7.72 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $13.60 | +76% |
| Expensive | 14x | $18.01 | +133% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LCUT has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCUT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LCUT, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over LCUT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCUT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.83 | -36% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.29 | +$2.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.43 | +$3.02 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.27 | -$0.66 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.24 | -$0.53 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.66 | -$0.66 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.59 | -$0.77 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.61 | -$0.33 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.71 | -$0.31 |
LCUT has returned to profit: it earned $1.29 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over LCUT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over LCUT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCUT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $177.7M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $141.6M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $143.5M | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $204.1M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.9M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.9M | -6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $140.1M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $215.2M | +5.9% |
LCUT's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $178M last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +51 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.6% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8% | +2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -28% | -29 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | -0.6 points |
LCUT's operating margin was −0% last quarter, down 3.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
LCUT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.3M | +$30M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.9M | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $29.9M | +98% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.6M | -87% |
| Q3 2025 | -$22.7M | +$511K |
| Q2 2025 | $8.2M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1M | +53% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.7M | -49% |
LCUT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over LCUT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
LCUT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -366K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +478K shares |
| 3 years | +4.5% | +953K shares |
| 5 years | +0.7% | +161K shares |
| Available history | +8% | +1.6M shares |
LCUT has 22M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $2.5M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over LCUT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LCUT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 10.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
LCUT's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
LCUT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.7 | Neutral |
LCUT's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
LCUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LCUT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6x | 18x | 67% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
LCUT has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
LCUT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.54 | 9.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.69 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $6.75 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.55 | 39% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.31 | 22% above |
LCUT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
LCUT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.54 | $14.8 | +126% |
| 2021 | $14.8 | $15.8 | +6.7% |
| 2022 | $15.8 | $7.88 | -50% |
| 2023 | $7.88 | $6.71 | -15% |
| 2024 | $6.71 | $5.61 | -16% |
| 2025 | $5.61 | $4.06 | -28% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.06 | $7.72 | +90% |
LCUT has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.