BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over LAKE overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LAKE

Lakeland Industries, Inc.

51
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

LAKE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LAKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

LAKE's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LAKE PE Valuation

LAKE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 53x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LAKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LAKE to return to profit, with revenue growing.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails LAKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LAKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$16.03
Downside-42%$5.39

Calculated from the latest close: $9.29 on Nov 12.

LAKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over LAKE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LAKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $-0.08Q1 2025: $-2.43Q2 2025: $-3.06Q3 2025: $-2.79Q4 2025: $-4.44Q1 2026: $-2.63Q2 2026: $-2.18Q3 2026: $-2.76Forward: $0.17
Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.72Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $-0.08Q1 2025: $-2.43Q2 2025: $-3.06Q3 2025: $-2.79Q4 2025: $-4.44Q1 2026: $-2.63Q2 2026: $-2.18Q3 2026: $-2.76Forward: $0.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.17—
Q3 2026-$2.76+$0.03
Q2 2026-$2.18+$0.88
Q1 2026-$2.63-$0.20
Q4 2025-$4.44-$4.36
Q3 2025-$2.79-1216%
Q2 2025-$3.06-503%
Q1 2025-$2.43-438%
Q4 2024-$0.08-109%

LAKE lost $2.76 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LAKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $47MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.1M-4.5%
Q2 2026$47.4M+1.4%
Q1 2026$45.8M-1.7%
Q4 2025$47.6M+4%
Q3 2025$52.5M+36%
Q2 2025$46.7M+29%
Q1 2025$46.6M+49%
Q4 2024$45.8M+44%

LAKE's revenue has held roughly level: $50M last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

LAKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$173,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$447,000
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$173,000Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: −$447,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$447K+$5.3M
Q2 2026$4.4M+$10.5M
Q1 2026$2M+$5.4M
Q4 2025-$6.6M+$2.5M
Q3 2025-$5.7M-$1M
Q2 2025-$6.1M-$5.9M
Q1 2025-$3.4M-232%
Q3 2024-$4.7M-$4.6M

LAKE has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LAKE Total Shares

Q1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 8MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
Q1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 8MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.4%-353K shares
1 year-1.5%-153K shares
3 years+23%+1.9M shares
5 years+24%+1.9M shares

LAKE has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LAKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -3.1xQ2 2024: -3.3xQ3 2024: -5.9xQ4 2024: -9.7x
Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -3.1xQ2 2024: -3.3xQ3 2024: -5.9xQ4 2024: -9.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-9.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2023-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2023-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2023-3.4xNet Cash

LAKE has more cash than debt.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LAKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic11.6Oversold

LAKE's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LAKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLAKESector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

LAKE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

LAKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.552.7% below
20 week MA$10.613% below
50 week MA$10.07.3% below
100 week MA$14.033% below
200 week MA$15.640% below

LAKE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

LAKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$27.2+152%
2021$27.2$21.7-20%
2022$21.7$12.8-41%
2023$12.8$18.5+45%
2024$18.5$24.7+33%
2025$24.7$8.64-65%
2026 YTD$8.64$9.29+7.5%

LAKE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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