BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
KTB
Kontoor Brands, Inc.
KTB has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
KTB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
KTB's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over KTB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
KTB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $40.20 | -48% |
| Fair | 16x | $57.23 | -26% |
| Expensive | 20x | $72.73 | -6.5% |
| Current | 22x | $77.76 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KTB's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KTB Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for KTB to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
KTB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.59 | -7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.79 | +7.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.94 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.05 | -7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.87 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.47 | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.07 | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.36 | +7.4% |
KTB has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over KTB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
KTB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $685.3M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $584.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $613.3M | -1.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $853.2M | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $658.3M | +8.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $622.9M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $699.3M | +4.4% |
KTB's revenue has held roughly level: $685M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | -7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +0.8 points |
KTB has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
KTB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.3M | -15% |
| Q2 2026 | $45.4M | +103% |
| Q1 2026 | $40.3M | -46% |
| Q4 2025 | $281.8M | +276% |
| Q3 2025 | $55.8M | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.4M | -76% |
| Q1 2025 | $74.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $75M | -63% |
KTB has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
KTB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -864K shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -4.1% | -2.3M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -4.7M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -2.6M shares |
KTB has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20M |
| Q2 2026 | $50.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $25M |
| Q4 2025 | $25M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
KTB spent $120M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over KTB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
KTB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
KTB's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.6 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
KTB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.5 | Neutral |
KTB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over KTB on valuation relative to its sector.
KTB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | KTB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 20% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
KTB is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
KTB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $71.8 | 8.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $76.3 | 2% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.9 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $72.5 | 7.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $65.4 | 19% above |
KTB has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
KTB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.5 | $41.5 | -2.3% |
| 2021 | $41.5 | $50.9 | +23% |
| 2022 | $50.9 | $39.6 | -22% |
| 2023 | $39.6 | $62.4 | +58% |
| 2024 | $62.4 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2025 | $85.2 | $62.9 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.9 | $77.8 | +24% |
KTB has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.