BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over KSS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
KSS
Kohl's Corporation
KSS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
KSS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
KSS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over KSS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
KSS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.1x | $14.11 | -40% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $18.88 | -20% |
| Current | 10x | $23.50 | — |
| Expensive | 11x | $26.18 | +11% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
KSS's PE is in its expensive range at 10x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KSS Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for KSS to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
KSS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.31 | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.38 | +118% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.38 | +143% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.72 | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.85 | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.09 | -56% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.98 | -66% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.22 | +$3.23 |
KSS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.31 over the past year, against $6.42 in late 2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over KSS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
KSS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | -0.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.2B | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.2B | -4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | -3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.5B | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | -4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.4B | -9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.7B | -8.5% |
KSS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6% | -1.2 points |
KSS has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
KSS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $490M | -3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | -$158M | +$44M |
| Q1 2026 | $686M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $16M | +$339M |
| Q3 2025 | $508M | +260% |
| Q2 2025 | -$202M | -$69M |
| Q1 2025 | $497M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | -$323M | -$317M |
KSS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over KSS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
KSS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.4% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +3.5% | +4M shares |
| 3 years | +6.3% | +7M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -38M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -39M shares |
KSS has 118M diluted shares, up 3.5% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $500M |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $158M |
| Q1 2022 | $548M |
| Q4 2021 | $506M |
| Q3 2021 | $255M |
| Q2 2021 | $46M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
KSS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
KSS has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
KSS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.9 | Overbought |
KSS's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
KSS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | KSS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 18x | 44% below |
| PE % | 75 | 47 | 28 pts above |
KSS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
KSS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $21.8 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.5 | 20% above |
| 50 week MA | $18.0 | 31% above |
| 100 week MA | $15.0 | 57% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.2 | 22% above |
KSS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
KSS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.9 | $38.9 | -24% |
| 2021 | $38.9 | $50.2 | +29% |
| 2022 | $50.2 | $25.0 | -50% |
| 2023 | $25.0 | $28.7 | +15% |
| 2024 | $28.7 | $14.4 | -50% |
| 2025 | $14.4 | $21.6 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.6 | $23.5 | +8.9% |
KSS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.