BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over KRUS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
KRUS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
KRUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
KRUS's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
KRUS PE Valuation
KRUS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 285x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
KRUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect KRUS to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over KRUS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
KRUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.09 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.38 | -$0.22 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.18 | +$0.63 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.16 | +$0.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.33 | +$0.36 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.16 | +$0.63 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.81 | -$0.78 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.91 | -606% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.69 | -506% |
KRUS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.38 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in early 2025.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over KRUS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
KRUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $88.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $85.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $80M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $73.5M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.4M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $74M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $64.9M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $64.5M | +25% |
KRUS has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8% | +4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -5% | -2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.1% | -4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3% | +3.2 points |
KRUS's operating margin was −0.7% last quarter, down 2.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
KRUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$244K | -$165K |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.7M | +$3.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.9M | -$576K |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.3M | -$6.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$79K | +$9.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.9M | -$4.5M |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.3M | +$2.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | -$226K |
KRUS has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over KRUS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
KRUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -227K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +216K shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +1.5M shares |
KRUS has 12M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
KRUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -35.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -48.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -188.8x | Net Cash |
KRUS has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
KRUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.0 | Oversold |
KRUS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
KRUS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | KRUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
KRUS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
KRUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.9 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $42.1 | 37% below |
| 50 week MA | $52.8 | 50% below |
| 100 week MA | $61.1 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $71.1 | 63% below |
KRUS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over KRUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
KRUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.1 | $18.9 | -30% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $78.0 | +312% |
| 2022 | $78.0 | $51.1 | -35% |
| 2023 | $51.1 | $76.0 | +49% |
| 2024 | $76.0 | $90.2 | +19% |
| 2025 | $90.2 | $56.4 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.4 | $26.5 | -53% |
KRUS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 53% so far in 2026.