BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over KEQU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

KEQU

Kewaunee Scientific Corporation

47
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

KEQU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

KEQU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

KEQU's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over KEQU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KEQU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$20.79-42%
Fair11x$29.03-19%
Expensive13x$36.49+1.5%
Current13x$35.94—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KEQU's PE is in its expensive range at 13x.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KEQU Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KEQU to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KEQU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KEQU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$45.46
Downside-34%$23.62

Calculated from the latest close: $35.94 on Nov 12.

KEQU trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over KEQU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KEQU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.00Q2 2024: $6.38Q3 2024: $6.26Q4 2024: $6.34Q1 2025: $5.94Q2 2025: $3.83Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $3.94Q1 2026: $3.72Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $2.76
Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $3.00Q2 2024: $6.38Q3 2024: $6.26Q4 2024: $6.34Q1 2025: $5.94Q2 2025: $3.83Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $3.94Q1 2026: $3.72Q2 2026: $3.22Q3 2026: $2.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.76-33%
Q2 2026$3.22-16%
Q1 2026$3.72-37%
Q4 2025$3.94-38%
Q3 2025$4.13-34%
Q2 2025$3.83-40%
Q1 2025$5.94+98%
Q4 2024$6.34+164%

KEQU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.76 over the past year, against $6.38 in early 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

KEQU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $48MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$66.3M-6.7%
Q2 2026$71.4M-7.5%
Q1 2026$69.4M+3.3%
Q4 2025$70.1M+47%
Q3 2025$71.1M+47%
Q2 2025$77.1M+36%
Q1 2025$67.2M+44%
Q4 2024$47.8M-5.3%

KEQU's revenue is growing: $66M last quarter, down 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

KEQU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$518,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $166,000Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: −$518,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $166,000Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2M-76%
Q2 2026$4.5M-49%
Q1 2026$11M+$13.9M
Q4 2025-$5.8M-175%
Q3 2025$5M+$6.1M
Q2 2025$8.9M+5256%
Q1 2025-$3M-133%
Q4 2024$7.8M+$8.3M

KEQU has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

KEQU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-62K shares
1 year-1.4%-42K shares
3 years+1.2%+36K shares
5 years+5.2%+144K shares
Available history+6.2%+171K shares

KEQU has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

KEQU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

KEQU's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

KEQU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

KEQU's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

KEQU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricKEQUSector medianRelative
PE13x18x28% below
PE %814734 pts above

KEQU has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

KEQU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.96% above
20 week MA$35.41.5% above
50 week MA$37.02.9% below
100 week MA$42.515% below
200 week MA$35.12.4% above

KEQU has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

KEQU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.1$10.6-19%
2021$10.6$12.3+16%
2022$12.3$15.8+28%
2023$15.8$29.1+85%
2024$29.1$63.8+120%
2025$63.8$38.0-40%
2026 YTD$38.0$35.9-5.4%

KEQU has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key