BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over KBH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

KBH

KB Home

27
Fundamentals24/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

KBH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

KBH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

KBH's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over KBH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KBH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.9x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.9x7.9x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$18.30-62%
Fair8.7x$30.92-36%
Expensive11x$40.58-16%
Current14x$48.43—
Forward14x$48.43—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KBH's PE is in its expensive range at 13.6x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 14.3x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over KBH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

KBH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect KBH's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KBH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

KBH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$56.88
Downside-43%$27.79

Calculated from the latest close: $48.43 on Nov 12.

KBH trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over KBH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KBH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.03Q1 2024: $7.34Q2 2024: $7.55Q3 2024: $7.79Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.18Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $7.10Q4 2025: $6.15Q1 2026: $5.18Q2 2026: $4.11Q3 2026: $3.55Forward: $3.39
Q4 2023: $7.03Q1 2024: $7.34Q2 2024: $7.55Q3 2024: $7.79Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.18Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $7.10Q4 2025: $6.15Q1 2026: $5.18Q2 2026: $4.11Q3 2026: $3.55Forward: $3.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.39-4.4%
Q3 2026$3.55-50%
Q2 2026$4.11-45%
Q1 2026$5.18-37%
Q4 2025$6.15-27%
Q3 2025$7.10-8.9%
Q2 2025$7.53-0.3%
Q1 2025$8.18+11%
Q4 2024$8.45+20%

KBH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.55 over the past year, against $9.09 in late 2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over KBH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KBH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B-20%
Q2 2026$1.1B-27%
Q1 2026$1.1B-23%
Q4 2025$1.7B-15%
Q3 2025$1.6B-7.5%
Q2 2025$1.5B-11%
Q1 2025$1.4B-5.2%
Q4 2024$2B+19%

KBH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $1.3B last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

KBH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: −$99MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: −$346MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$145M
Q4 2023: $301MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: −$99MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: −$346MQ2 2025: $157MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $290MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$145M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$145M-178%
Q2 2026$22.2M-86%
Q1 2026-$138.6M+$207M
Q4 2025$290.1M-18%
Q3 2025$185.8M+$285.2M
Q2 2025$156.9M+207%
Q1 2025-$345.5M-1913%
Q4 2024$352.6M+17%

KBH has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

KBH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 78MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 77MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-974K shares
1 year-8.8%-6M shares
3 years-25%-21M shares
5 years-34%-31.5M shares
Available history-34%-32.1M shares

KBH has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

KBH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

KBH has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

KBH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic45.0Neutral

KBH's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

KBH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricKBHSector medianRelative
PE14x18x24% below
PE %954748 pts above

KBH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

KBH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.83.5% above
20 week MA$51.76.2% below
50 week MA$54.411% below
100 week MA$57.115% below
200 week MA$58.517% below

KBH has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

KBH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$35.9+5.7%
2021$35.9$43.4+21%
2022$43.4$32.1-26%
2023$32.1$62.5+94%
2024$62.5$65.7+5.2%
2025$65.7$57.3-13%
2026 YTD$57.3$48.4-15%

KBH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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