BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

JRSH

Jerash Holdings (US), Inc.

69
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JRSH has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

JRSH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

JRSH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over JRSH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JRSH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$4.11-44%
Fair14x$6.75-8.1%
Current15x$7.35—
Forward15x$7.35—
Expensive26x$12.70+73%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JRSH's PE is in its fair range at 15.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15.2x.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JRSH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JRSH, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails JRSH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JRSH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$10.36
Downside-10%$6.58

Calculated from the latest close: $7.35 on Nov 12.

JRSH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

JRSH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.27Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $0.49
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.07Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.27Q2 2026: $0.37Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $0.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.49-1%
Q3 2026$0.49+717%
Q2 2026$0.37+429%
Q1 2026$0.27+$0.34
Q4 2025$0.15+$0.46
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.35
Q2 2025$0.07+$0.38
Q1 2025-$0.07+$0.09
Q4 2024-$0.31-$0.24

JRSH has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

JRSH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $41MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.3M+20%
Q2 2026$50.2M+27%
Q1 2026$42.9M+47%
Q4 2025$41.8M+18%
Q3 2025$42M+4.3%
Q2 2025$39.6M-3.2%
Q1 2025$29.3M+36%
Q4 2024$35.4M+29%

JRSH's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

JRSH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$500,353Q1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$500,353Q1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4M-32%
Q2 2026$2.3M+$9.3M
Q1 2026$1.8M+21%
Q4 2025-$3.9M-$750.5K
Q3 2025$6.4M+46%
Q2 2025-$6.9M-$4.6M
Q1 2025$1.5M+$7.3M
Q4 2024-$3.2M-$2.7M

JRSH has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over JRSH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JRSH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+113K shares
1 year+2.5%+326K shares
3 years+9.8%+1.2M shares
5 years+17%+2M shares
Available history+18%+2.1M shares

JRSH has 14M diluted shares, up 2.5% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

JRSH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.4xQ1 2024: -6.6xQ3 2024: -68.9xQ4 2024: -13.3xQ1 2025: -4.6xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -6.4xQ1 2024: -6.6xQ3 2024: -68.9xQ4 2024: -13.3xQ1 2025: -4.6xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -2.6xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.3xNet Cash

JRSH has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

JRSH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI84.7Overbought
Stochastic74.8Neutral

JRSH's weekly RSI is 85 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

JRSH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJRSHSector medianRelative
PE15x18x17% below
PE %584711 pts above

JRSH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

JRSH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2118% above
20 week MA$5.5034% above
50 week MA$4.1677% above
100 week MA$3.7596% above
200 week MA$3.60104% above

JRSH has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

JRSH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.02$5.52-8.3%
2021$5.52$6.70+21%
2022$6.70$4.03-40%
2023$4.03$3.11-23%
2024$3.11$3.43+10%
2025$3.43$3.03-12%
2026 YTD$3.03$7.35+143%

JRSH has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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