BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
JACK
Jack in the Box Inc.
JACK has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
JACK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Weak |
JACK's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
JACK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.6x | $14.07 | — |
| Current | 8x | $14.07 | — |
| Cheap | 9.7x | $17.01 | +21% |
| Fair | 13x | $23.58 | +68% |
| Expensive | 23x | $40.08 | +185% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JACK has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over JACK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
JACK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect JACK's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over JACK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
JACK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.04 | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.76 | +$5.13 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.88 | +$12.66 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.12 | -$4.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.24 | -$2.37 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.37 | -$1.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.78 | -290% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.05 | -136% |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.87 | -130% |
JACK has returned to profit: it earned $1.76 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over JACK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JACK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $257.7M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $254.3M | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $349.5M | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $326.2M | -6.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $333M | -9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $336.7M | -7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $469.4M | -3.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $349.3M | -6.2% |
JACK's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $258M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 20% | +8.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +61 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | -7.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +40 points |
| Q1 2025 | -47% | -62 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | +0.5 points |
JACK has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
JACK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 15% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.
JACK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $29.9M | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.8M | +$16M |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2M | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.6M | +$132.1M |
| Q3 2024 | -$153K | -101% |
| Q1 2024 | -$5.6M | -130% |
| Q1 2024 | -$61.5M | -260% |
JACK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $90M over the past year.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over JACK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
JACK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2% | +385K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +307K shares |
| 3 years | -5.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -2.9M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -6.6M shares |
JACK has 19M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2024 | $15M |
| Q2 2024 | $15M |
| Q1 2024 | $15M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over JACK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JACK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 189.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 41.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 25.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 12.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 12.0x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 11.9x | High |
JACK's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
JACK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
JACK's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
JACK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | JACK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 6 | 47 | 41 pts below |
JACK has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
JACK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.9 | 9.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.7 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.3 | 8% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.3 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $45.0 | 69% below |
JACK has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
JACK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.0 | $95.2 | +24% |
| 2021 | $95.2 | $84.9 | -11% |
| 2022 | $84.9 | $67.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $67.8 | $81.6 | +20% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $42.4 | -48% |
| 2025 | $42.4 | $20.6 | -51% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.6 | $14.1 | -32% |
JACK has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.