BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over IBP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

IBP

Installed Building Products, Inc.

45
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

IBP offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

IBP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

IBP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IBP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$151-33%
Fair24x$214-4.3%
Forward24x$224—
Current26x$224—
Expensive33x$292+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBP has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over IBP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

IBP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect IBP's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IBP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IBP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$278.66
Downside-29%$159.24

Calculated from the latest close: $223.76 on Nov 12.

IBP trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

IBP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
Q4 2023: $8.61Q1 2024: $8.84Q2 2024: $8.96Q3 2024: $9.00Q4 2024: $9.10Q1 2025: $8.77Q2 2025: $8.99Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $9.71Q1 2026: $9.36Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $8.77Forward: $9.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.38+6.9%
Q3 2026$8.77-5.6%
Q2 2026$9.27+3.1%
Q1 2026$9.36+6.7%
Q4 2025$9.71+6.7%
Q3 2025$9.29+3.2%
Q2 2025$8.99+0.3%
Q1 2025$8.77-0.8%
Q4 2024$9.10+5.7%

IBP has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over IBP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IBP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
Q4 2023: $721MQ1 2024: $693MQ2 2024: $738MQ3 2024: $761MQ4 2024: $750MQ1 2025: $685MQ2 2025: $760MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $748MQ1 2026: $661MQ2 2026: $778MQ3 2026: $808M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$808.4M+3.9%
Q2 2026$777.8M+2.3%
Q1 2026$660.5M-3.5%
Q4 2025$747.5M-0.4%
Q3 2025$778.2M+2.3%
Q2 2025$760.3M+3.1%
Q1 2025$684.8M-1.2%
Q4 2024$750.2M+4.1%

IBP's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $808M last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

IBP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: $105MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $86MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.3M-44%
Q2 2026$51.9M-31%
Q1 2026$85.7M+19%
Q4 2025$49.3M-6.8%
Q3 2025$104.8M+36%
Q2 2025$74.8M+29%
Q1 2025$71.9M+14%
Q4 2024$52.9M-29%

IBP has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

IBP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-206K shares
1 year-2.5%-666K shares
3 years-6.4%-1.8M shares
5 years-11%-3.1M shares
Available history-11%-3.4M shares

IBP has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over IBP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

IBP's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

IBP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

IBP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over IBP on valuation relative to its sector.

IBP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricIBPSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %52475 pts above

IBP is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

IBP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$202.610% above
20 week MA$218.52.4% above
50 week MA$249.910% below
100 week MA$227.41.6% below
200 week MA$201.611% above

IBP has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

IBP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.1$108.7+57%
2021$108.7$139.0+28%
2022$139.0$87.5-37%
2023$87.5$182.8+109%
2024$182.8$174.3-4.6%
2025$174.3$267.2+53%
2026 YTD$267.2$223.8-16%

IBP has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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