BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over HZO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

HZO

MarineMax, Inc.

53
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

HZO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

HZO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

HZO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HZO PE Valuation

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over HZO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

HZO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HZO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails HZO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HZO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$75.20
Downside-30%$37.11

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

HZO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over HZO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

HZO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61—
Q3 2026-$0.41+$1.02

HZO lost $0.41 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over HZO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HZO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.1M-5.8%
Q2 2026$611.3M-7%
Q1 2026$527.4M-16%
Q4 2025$505.2M+7.8%

HZO's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $520M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

HZO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+13%
Q1 2026$44.5M-26%
Q4 2025$8.3M+$172.7M

HZO and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over HZO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HZO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+7.6%+1.6M shares

HZO has 23M diluted shares, up 7.6% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over HZO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HZO Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 202622.5xHigh
Q4 202518.3xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202510.4xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

HZO's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

HZO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.2Overbought
Stochastic96.4Overbought

HZO's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 96 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over HZO on valuation relative to its sector.

HZO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHZOSector medianRelative
PE203x18x1,026% above
PE %1004753 pts above

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

HZO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.60.5% above
20 week MA$47.212% above
50 week MA$36.445% above
100 week MA$30.672% above
200 week MA$31.170% above

HZO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

HZO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$37.8+127%
2021$37.8$56.3+49%
2022$56.3$31.0-45%
2023$31.0$38.9+26%
2024$38.9$27.8-29%
2025$27.8$24.5-12%
2026 YTD$24.5$52.8+116%

HZO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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