BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

HRB

H&R Block, Inc.

70
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

HRB has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

HRB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

HRB's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HRB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x40x60x80x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.3x$50.73—
Cheap8.8x$47.55-6.3%
Current9.4x$50.73—
Fair13x$69.30+37%
Expensive15x$80.42+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HRB has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HRB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HRB, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HRB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HRB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$62.35
Downside-17%$41.99

Calculated from the latest close: $50.73 on Nov 12.

HRB trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HRB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.57Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.00Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.98Q2 2025: $4.39Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.25Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.39Forward: $6.12
Q4 2023: $3.57Q1 2024: $4.31Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.00Q4 2024: $3.53Q1 2025: $3.98Q2 2025: $4.39Q3 2025: $4.37Q4 2025: $4.25Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.39Forward: $6.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.12+14%
Q3 2026$5.39+23%
Q2 2026$5.66+29%
Q1 2026$5.54+39%
Q4 2025$4.25+20%
Q3 2025$4.37+9.3%
Q2 2025$4.39+6.6%
Q1 2025$3.98-7.7%
Q4 2024$3.53-1.1%

HRB has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over HRB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HRB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $204MQ4 2025: $199MQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $224M
Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $204MQ4 2025: $199MQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $224M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.3M+10%
Q2 2026$1.1B+3%
Q1 2026$2.4B+5.3%
Q4 2025$198.9M+11%
Q3 2025$203.6M+5%
Q2 2025$1.1B+4.6%
Q1 2025$2.3B+4.2%
Q4 2024$179.1M0%

HRB's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $224M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

HRB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$627MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: −$347MQ4 2024: −$597MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: −$370MQ4 2025: −$649MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: −$379M
Q4 2023: −$627MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: −$347MQ4 2024: −$597MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: −$370MQ4 2025: −$649MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: −$379M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$379.2M-$9.2M
Q2 2026$236.5M-2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+18%
Q4 2025-$649.5M-$52.1M
Q3 2025-$370M-$22.7M
Q2 2025$241.3M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-2.9%
Q4 2024-$597.4M+$29.5M

HRB has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

HRB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 144MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 123M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 144MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 123M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.5%-5.8M shares
1 year-6.3%-8.3M shares
3 years-16%-23.2M shares
5 years-31%-55M shares
Available history-37%-71M shares

HRB has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over HRB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HRB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20242.2xModerate

HRB's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

HRB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.3Neutral
Stochastic63.0Neutral

HRB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

HRB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHRBSector medianRelative
PE9.4x18x48% below
PE %194728 pts below

HRB has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

HRB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.66.5% above
20 week MA$46.68.8% above
50 week MA$40.426% above
100 week MA$47.07.9% above
200 week MA$46.59.2% above

HRB has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

HRB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.4$15.5-34%
2021$15.5$23.5+52%
2022$23.5$39.2+66%
2023$39.2$48.4+24%
2024$48.4$53.4+10%
2025$53.4$43.8-18%
2026 YTD$43.8$50.7+16%

HRB has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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