BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
HMC
Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
HMC has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HMC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
HMC's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
HMC PE Valuation
HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HMC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect HMC to return to profit, with revenue growing.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over HMC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
HMC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.81 | -131% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.11 | -164% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.25 | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.75 | -28% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.63 | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.29 | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.08 | +14% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.83 | +9.4% |
HMC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.81 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over HMC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HMC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $38B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $33.5B | -3.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.2B | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.5B | -1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.6B | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.7B | +2.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $33.8B | +8.2% |
HMC's revenue is growing: $38B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 8.8% | +4.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -17% | -19 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.7% | -15 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -4.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 19% | +13 points |
HMC has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
HMC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.2B | -$1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $870.1M | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $612.2M | +$1.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $726.9M | +$772.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$719.2M | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | -$942.2M | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$683.5M | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | -$45.5M | $0 |
HMC has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
HMC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.7% | +62.8M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -42.7K shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -257M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -326M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -359M shares |
HMC has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $576,658 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $423.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $1.3B |
HMC spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 71% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HMC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
HMC has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
HMC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.9 | Neutral |
HMC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
HMC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HMC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
HMC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
HMC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.6 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $31.9 | 5.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $29.4 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.3 | 11% above |
HMC has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
HMC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.6 | $28.6 | -0.1% |
| 2021 | $28.6 | $28.1 | -1.7% |
| 2022 | $28.1 | $23.1 | -18% |
| 2023 | $23.1 | $30.9 | +34% |
| 2024 | $30.9 | $28.8 | -7% |
| 2025 | $28.8 | $29.8 | +3.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.8 | $33.5 | +13% |
HMC has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.