BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HBB
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company
HBB has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HBB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
HBB's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
HBB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.2x | $27.09 | -11% |
| Current | 7x | $30.50 | — |
| Fair | 9.1x | $40.03 | +31% |
| Expensive | 13x | $56.43 | +85% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HBB has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HBB Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for HBB to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
HBB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.38 | +90% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.24 | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.08 | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.95 | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.30 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.32 | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.41 | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.20 | +22% |
HBB has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over HBB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over HBB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HBB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $140.3M | +5.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.6M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $122M | -8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $212.9M | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $132.8M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $127.8M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $133.4M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $213.5M | +3.3% |
HBB's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $140M last quarter, up 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | +26 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.7% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -1.1 points |
HBB's operating margin was 3.1% last quarter, up 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
HBB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6M | +123% |
| Q1 2026 | $3M | -51% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.9M | -5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.4M | +$11.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.1M | -67% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.4M | +56% |
| Q3 2024 | -$2.7M | -125% |
| Q2 2024 | $16.8M | -21% |
HBB has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
HBB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -56K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -52K shares |
| 3 years | -4.2% | -594K shares |
| 5 years | -3.2% | -446K shares |
| Available history | -1.2% | -169K shares |
HBB has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $2M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $575,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.2M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.3M |
HBB spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
HBB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.9x | Very low |
HBB has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
HBB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.0 | Neutral |
HBB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
HBB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HBB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7x | 18x | 61% below |
| PE % | 26 | 47 | 21 pts below |
HBB has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
HBB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.0 | 10% below |
| 20 week MA | $30.3 | 0.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.4 | 31% above |
| 100 week MA | $20.0 | 53% above |
| 200 week MA | $18.5 | 65% above |
HBB has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
HBB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.0 | $17.2 | -9.7% |
| 2021 | $17.2 | $13.9 | -19% |
| 2022 | $13.9 | $13.9 | +0.3% |
| 2023 | $13.9 | $17.5 | +26% |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $16.8 | -4.1% |
| 2025 | $16.8 | $16.2 | -3.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.2 | $30.5 | +88% |
HBB has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.