BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HAS

Hasbro, Inc.

78
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

HAS has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

HAS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

HAS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

HAS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$121—
Forward18x$121—
Cheap20x$133+9.6%
Fair29x$198+63%
Expensive37x$247+104%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HAS has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HAS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HAS, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails HAS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HAS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$158.81
Downside-11%$108.03

Calculated from the latest close: $121.48 on Nov 12.

HAS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

HAS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-10.73Q1 2024: $-10.15Q2 2024: $-7.47Q3 2024: $-4.65Q4 2024: $2.75Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $-4.01Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-1.61Q2 2026: $5.61Q3 2026: $6.74Forward: $6.85
Q4 2023: $-10.73Q1 2024: $-10.15Q2 2024: $-7.47Q3 2024: $-4.65Q4 2024: $2.75Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $-4.01Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-1.61Q2 2026: $5.61Q3 2026: $6.74Forward: $6.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.85+1.7%
Q3 2026$6.74+$10.75
Q2 2026$5.61+$9.67
Q1 2026-$1.61-153%
Q4 2025-$2.30-184%
Q3 2025-$4.01+$0.64
Q2 2025-$4.06+$3.41
Q1 2025$3.03+$13.18
Q4 2024$2.75+$13.48

HAS has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

HAS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $757MQ2 2024: $995MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $757MQ2 2024: $995MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+0.3%
Q2 2026$1.3B+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B+11%
Q4 2025$1.6B-4.5%
Q3 2025$1.6B+24%
Q2 2025$1.1B+14%
Q1 2025$1B+33%
Q4 2024$1.7B+33%

HAS's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

HAS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $316MQ2 2026: $248MQ3 2026: $273M
Q4 2023: $342MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $135MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $319MQ1 2025: $124MQ2 2025: $55MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $316MQ2 2026: $248MQ3 2026: $273M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$273.4M+4.8%
Q2 2026$247.7M+349%
Q1 2026$315.5M+154%
Q4 2025$389.5M+22%
Q3 2025$260.9M+50%
Q2 2025$55.2M-59%
Q1 2025$124.3M-5.8%
Q4 2024$318.8M-6.7%

HAS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

HAS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 139MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 143M
Q4 2023: 139MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 140MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143MQ3 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-600K shares
1 year+0.2%+300K shares
3 years+2.7%+3.7M shares
5 years+2.9%+4M shares
Available history+11%+14M shares

HAS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over HAS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HAS Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 17.0xQ1 2026: 11.5xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 17.0xQ1 2026: 11.5xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 202611.5xHigh
Q4 202517.0xHigh
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q2 202331.9xHigh
Q1 20236.6xHigh

HAS's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

HAS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI77.5Overbought
Stochastic91.1Overbought

HAS's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

HAS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHASSector medianRelative
PE18x18xSame PE
PE %104737 pts below

HAS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

HAS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$105.815% above
20 week MA$96.027% above
50 week MA$92.431% above
100 week MA$80.451% above
200 week MA$69.774% above

HAS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

HAS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$105.8$93.2-12%
2021$93.2$97.9+5.1%
2022$97.9$58.2-41%
2023$58.2$51.1-12%
2024$51.1$56.7+11%
2025$56.7$82.6+46%
2026 YTD$82.6$121.5+47%

HAS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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