BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
GTIM has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GTIM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GTIM's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over GTIM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GTIM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.2x | $0.67 | -48% |
| Current | 6.2x | $1.30 | — |
| Fair | 7.5x | $1.56 | +20% |
| Expensive | 14x | $2.91 | +124% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GTIM's PE is in its fair range at 6.2x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GTIM Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GTIM to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
GTIM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.21 | +75% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.17 | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | -55% |
| Q3 2023 | $0.94 | +$1.15 |
| Q2 2023 | $0.84 | +4100% |
| Q1 2023 | $0.81 | -21% |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.25 | -120% |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.21 | -116% |
GTIM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.21 over the past year, against $1.32 in mid-2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over GTIM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over GTIM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GTIM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $35.2M | -5% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.2M | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.7M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $34M | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $37M | -2.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.3M | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.3M | +9.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.8M | +4.3% |
GTIM's revenue is shrinking: $35M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | -3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3% | +0.8 points |
GTIM's operating margin was 5% last quarter, up 1.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GTIM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.4M | +70% |
| Q1 2026 | $191K | +$324K |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2M | +$3.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$150K | +$316K |
| Q2 2025 | $796K | -46% |
| Q1 2025 | -$133K | -112% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.9M | -$1.2M |
| Q3 2024 | -$466K | -128% |
GTIM has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GTIM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -10.6K shares |
| 3 years | -9.5% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -1.9M shares |
GTIM has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $27,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $61,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $139,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $164,000 |
| Q3 2024 | $158,000 |
| Q2 2024 | $705,000 |
| Q1 2024 | $646,000 |
| Q4 2023 | $438,000 |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GTIM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
GTIM has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GTIM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.8 | Oversold |
GTIM's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
GTIM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GTIM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.2x | 18x | 66% below |
| PE % | 44 | 47 | 3 pts below |
GTIM has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GTIM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.37 | 5.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.43 | 9.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.32 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.60 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.17 | 40% below |
GTIM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GTIM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.54 | $2.74 | +78% |
| 2021 | $2.74 | $4.38 | +60% |
| 2022 | $4.38 | $2.42 | -45% |
| 2023 | $2.42 | $2.54 | +5% |
| 2024 | $2.54 | $2.52 | -0.8% |
| 2025 | $2.52 | $1.16 | -54% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.16 | $1.30 | +12% |
GTIM has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.