BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
GOOS has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GOOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
GOOS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $8.28 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $8.92 | +7.8% |
| Fair | 32x | $12.21 | +48% |
| Expensive | 72x | $27.34 | +230% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GOOS has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over GOOS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
GOOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over GOOS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
GOOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.38 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | -79% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.14 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.18 | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.33 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.67 | +60% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.51 | +42% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.42 | +17% |
GOOS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.38 over the past year, against $1.01 in late 2019.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over GOOS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GOOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $83.6M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.5M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $488.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $191.6M | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $75.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $270.4M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.4M | -0.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $188.3M | -4.7% |
GOOS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $84M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -89% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.5% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | -37 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +7.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 0.6% | -0.2 points |
GOOS's operating margin was −89% last quarter, up 59 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GOOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$137.4M | -$36.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $45.8M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $225.3M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | -$87.9M | +$14.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$101.3M | +$703K |
| Q1 2025 | $94.7M | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $237.7M | +1.5% |
| Q3 2024 | -$102.1M | -$43.6M |
GOOS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GOOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -840K shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -13.2M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -13.5M shares |
GOOS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GOOS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over GOOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GOOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GOOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.3 | Neutral |
GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over GOOS on valuation relative to its sector.
GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GOOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 21% above |
| PE % | 10 | 47 | 37 pts below |
GOOS is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GOOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.06 | 2.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.47 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.3 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.8 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.4 | 33% below |
GOOS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GOOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.6 | $30.9 | -18% |
| 2021 | $30.9 | $37.3 | +21% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $17.3 | -54% |
| 2023 | $17.3 | $11.9 | -32% |
| 2024 | $11.9 | $9.98 | -16% |
| 2025 | $9.98 | $12.8 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.8 | $8.28 | -35% |
GOOS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.