BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GLBE

Global-e Online Ltd.

76
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GLBE has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GLBE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

GLBE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GLBE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE306x613x919x1225x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE306x613x919x1225x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$41.05—
Current47x$41.05—
Cheap58x$50.06+22%
Fair81x$69.45+69%
Expensive1,044x$898+2088%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GLBE has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GLBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GLBE, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails GLBE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GLBE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$63.94
Downside-18%$33.56

Calculated from the latest close: $41.05 on Nov 12.

GLBE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GLBE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.86Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.74Q2 2024: $-0.65Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $0.04Q4 2025: $0.38Q1 2026: $0.66Q2 2026: $0.86Forward: $1.48
Q3 2023: $-0.86Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.74Q2 2024: $-0.65Q3 2024: $-0.58Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $0.04Q4 2025: $0.38Q1 2026: $0.66Q2 2026: $0.86Forward: $1.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.48+72%
Q2 2026$0.86+$1.03
Q1 2026$0.66+$1.02
Q4 2025$0.38+$0.82
Q3 2025$0.04+$0.62
Q2 2025-$0.17+$0.48
Q1 2025-$0.36+$0.38
Q4 2024-$0.44+$0.37
Q3 2024-$0.58+$0.28

GLBE has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GLBE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $134MQ4 2023: $185MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $168MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $337MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $299M
Q3 2023: $134MQ4 2023: $185MQ1 2024: $146MQ2 2024: $168MQ3 2024: $176MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $337MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$299M+39%
Q1 2026$252.1M+33%
Q4 2025$336.7M+28%
Q3 2025$220.8M+25%
Q2 2025$214.9M+28%
Q1 2025$189.9M+30%
Q4 2024$262.9M+42%
Q3 2024$176M+32%

GLBE has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

GLBE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $26MQ4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $129MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $216MQ1 2026: −$73MQ2 2026: $73M
Q3 2023: $26MQ4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $129MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $216MQ1 2026: −$73MQ2 2026: $73M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$73.2M+15%
Q1 2026-$72.9M-$320K
Q4 2025$216.2M+68%
Q3 2025$73.6M+146%
Q2 2025$63.5M0%
Q1 2025-$72.6M-$17.4M
Q4 2024$128.8M+39%
Q3 2024$29.9M+14%

GLBE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over GLBE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GLBE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 167MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 170MQ3 2025: 176MQ4 2025: 176MQ1 2026: 174MQ2 2026: 175M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 167MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 176MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 170MQ3 2025: 176MQ4 2025: 176MQ1 2026: 174MQ2 2026: 175M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1.1M shares
1 year+3.1%+5.3M shares
3 years+6.6%+10.9M shares
5 years+101%+87.8M shares
Available history+43%+53.1M shares

GLBE has 175M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago, despite $127M in buybacks over the past year.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GLBE Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2021-3.5xNet Cash

GLBE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

GLBE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.6Neutral
Stochastic67.5Neutral

GLBE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over GLBE on valuation relative to its sector.

GLBE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGLBESector medianRelative
PE47x18x163% above
PE %25351 pts below

GLBE is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

GLBE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.70.9% above
20 week MA$39.73.5% above
50 week MA$36.513% above
100 week MA$37.78.9% above
200 week MA$36.712% above

GLBE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

GLBE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$26.8$60.9+127%
2022$60.9$19.1-69%
2023$19.1$39.6+108%
2024$39.6$55.0+39%
2025$55.0$39.6-28%
2026 YTD$39.6$41.1+3.7%

GLBE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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