BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over GIL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GIL

Gildan Activewear Inc.

30
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

GIL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

GIL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over GIL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GIL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.3x$34.83—
Cheap11x$5.67-84%
Fair17x$9.22-74%
Expensive24x$12.73-63%
Current65x$34.83—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GIL's PE is in its expensive range at 65x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over GIL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GIL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GIL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$41.47
Downside-44%$19.46

Calculated from the latest close: $34.83 on Nov 12.

GIL trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 52% for BABA versus GIL down 79%.

GIL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.04Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.52Q3 2025: $3.13Q4 2025: $2.63Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $0.54Forward: $4.21
Q4 2023: $3.04Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.52Q3 2025: $3.13Q4 2025: $2.63Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $0.54Forward: $4.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.21+680%
Q3 2025$3.13+24%
Q3 2024$2.52-3.8%
Q2 2024$2.43-11%
Q1 2024$2.96+10%
Q4 2023$3.04+4.1%
Q3 2023$2.62-22%
Q2 2023$2.73-21%
Q1 2023$2.69-20%

GIL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.54 over the past year, against $3.45 in mid-2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

GIL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $783MQ1 2024: $696MQ2 2024: $862MQ3 2024: $891MQ4 2024: --Q4 2024: $822MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $919MQ3 2025: $911MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $783MQ1 2024: $696MQ2 2024: $862MQ3 2024: $891MQ4 2024: --Q4 2024: $822MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $919MQ3 2025: $911MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.5B+68%
Q1 2026$1.2B+64%
Q4 2025$1.1B+33%
Q3 2025$910.6M+2.2%
Q2 2025$918.5M+6.5%
Q1 2025$711.7M+2.3%
Q4 2024$821.5M+5%
Q3 2024$891.1M+2.4%

GIL has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

GIL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: −$71MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: --Q4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: −$165MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: $317M
Q4 2023: $203MQ1 2024: −$71MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: --Q4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: −$165MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: $317M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$316.5M+93%
Q1 2026-$309.9M-$145.4M
Q4 2025$280.6M+65%
Q3 2025$203.1M+35%
Q2 2025$163.7M+58%
Q1 2025-$164.5M-$93.1M
Q4 2024$169.9M-16%
Q3 2024$150.5M-43%

GIL has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over GIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GIL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 185M
Q4 2023: 172MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 185M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+18K shares
1 year+23%+34.4M shares
3 years+4.1%+7.3M shares
5 years-7%-13.9M shares
Available history-8.9%-18M shares

GIL has 185M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago, despite $109M in buybacks over the past year.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over GIL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GIL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 7.5xQ2 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 7.5xQ2 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20267.5xHigh
Q4 20256.1xHigh
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20242.1xModerate
Q2 20241.8xHealthy
Q1 20241.6xHealthy
Q4 20231.4xHealthy

GIL's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

GIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.2Oversold
Stochastic9.3Oversold

GIL's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over GIL on valuation relative to its sector.

GIL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGILSector medianRelative
PE65x18x258% above
PE %964749 pts above

GIL is trading at 65x earnings, a 258% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

GIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.311% below
20 week MA$47.527% below
50 week MA$55.737% below
100 week MA$53.435% below
200 week MA$44.522% below

GIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over GIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.6$28.2-4.5%
2021$28.2$40.8+44%
2022$40.8$27.1-34%
2023$27.1$33.1+22%
2024$33.1$46.9+42%
2025$46.9$63.6+36%
2026 YTD$63.6$34.8-45%

GIL is down 45% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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