BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over GIII overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GIII
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
GIII offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GIII Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
GIII's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over GIII in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GIII PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $16.40 | -48% |
| Fair | 7.7x | $23.50 | -25% |
| Current | 10x | $31.50 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $31.50 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $48.13 | +53% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GIII's PE is in its expensive range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over GIII on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GIII Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GIII's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over GIII on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GIII Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.46 | -19% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.05 | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.26 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.97 | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.25 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.20 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.79 | +$6.04 |
GIII's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.05 over the past year, against $4.49 in mid-2022.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over GIII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over GIII on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GIII Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554.1M | -9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $536M | -8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $771.5M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $988.6M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $613.3M | -4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $583.6M | -4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $839.5M | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +1.8% |
GIII's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $554M last quarter, down 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.7% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -2.5 points |
GIII's operating margin was 1.9% last quarter, down 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GIII Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $171.6M | +165% |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.4M | -112% |
| Q1 2026 | $219.9M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | -$106.4M | +$13.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $64.7M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $85.7M | +162% |
| Q1 2025 | $323.7M | -8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | -$120.3M | -1400% |
GIII has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GIII Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -56K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +119K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -2.2M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -5.2M shares |
| Available history | -8.3% | -4M shares |
GIII has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $24.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $31.6M |
| Q2 2024 | $28.4M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
GIII Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
GIII has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GIII Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.9 | Neutral |
GIII's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
GIII PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GIII | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 18x | 43% below |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
GIII has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GIII Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.1 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $31.4 | 0.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.9 | 2.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $28.9 | 9.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.0 | 17% above |
GIII has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GIII Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.0 | $22.9 | -31% |
| 2021 | $22.9 | $27.2 | +19% |
| 2022 | $27.2 | $13.1 | -52% |
| 2023 | $13.1 | $34.0 | +160% |
| 2024 | $34.0 | $32.7 | -3.6% |
| 2025 | $32.7 | $30.4 | -7.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.4 | $31.5 | +3.6% |
GIII has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.