BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over GGR overall on the model score.
GGR
Gogoro Inc.
GGR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
GGR's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
GGR PE Valuation
GGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GGR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for GGR to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over GGR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
GGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$3.05 | +$6.31 |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.61 | +$4.58 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.40 | +$3.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.10 | -$2.69 |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.36 | -$3.96 |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.19 | -$4.93 |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.01 | -$0.66 |
| Q3 2024 | -$6.41 | +$0.62 |
GGR is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.05 per share over the past year, against $9.36 at its worst in mid-2025.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over GGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over GGR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $70.6M | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $62.9M | -1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $74.4M | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.6M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $65.8M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $63.6M | -8.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $73.1M | -20% |
| Q3 2024 | $86.9M | -5.3% |
GGR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $71M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -4.7% | +31 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.1% | +19 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.2% | +89 points |
| Q3 2025 | -17% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -36% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -92% | -64 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -6.5 points |
GGR's operating margin was −4.7% last quarter, up 31 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
GGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4M | +$25.4M |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.6M | +$60.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$7.1M | +$3.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $8M | +$14.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$26.8M | +$6.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$63.9M | -$52.4M |
| Q3 2024 | -$10.3M | -217% |
GGR has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over GGR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
GGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +26% | +4.2M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +5.3M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +8.5M shares |
| 5 years | +108% | +10.4M shares |
| Available history | +82% | +9M shares |
GGR has 20M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
GGR hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over GGR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GGR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 12.4x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 8.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 7.8x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 5.7x | High |
GGR's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
GGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.8 | Neutral |
GGR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
GGR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
GGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
GGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.99 | 6.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.94 | 4.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.37 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.96 | 44% below |
| 200 week MA | $25.4 | 89% below |
GGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 89% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
GGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $197.2 | $198.0 | +0.4% |
| 2022 | $198.0 | $73.2 | -63% |
| 2023 | $73.2 | $51.6 | -30% |
| 2024 | $51.6 | $10.1 | -80% |
| 2025 | $10.1 | $3.48 | -66% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.48 | $2.80 | -20% |
GGR has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.