BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

GEF-B

Greif, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GEF-B yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GEF-B Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable
Under pressure

GEF-B's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GEF-B PE Valuation

GEF-B has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over GEF-B on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GEF-B Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect GEF-B's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and GEF-B's risk to reward.

GEF-B Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $99.90 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and GEF-B's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GEF-B Earnings Per Share

GEF-B and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over GEF-B on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GEF-B Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $995MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $995MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+2.7%
Q1 2026$1.1B-23%
Q4 2025$994.8M-21%
Q3 2025$701.3M-51%
Q3 2025$1.1B-22%
Q2 2025$1.4B+1.1%
Q1 2025$1.3B+5%
Q4 2024$1.4B+8.3%

GEF-B's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

GEF-B Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: โˆ’$51MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: โˆ’$67MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $157MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$57MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: โˆ’$51MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: โˆ’$67MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $157MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$57MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$49.1M-69%
Q1 2026$59.8M-44%
Q4 2025-$57.4M+$9.1M
Q3 2025$156.9M+390%
Q2 2025$106.4M+129%
Q1 2025-$66.5M-$15.4M
Q4 2024$142.1M+13%
Q3 2024$32M-80%

GEF-B has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

GEF-B Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+32K shares
1 year-2.8%-1.3M shares
3 years-1.4%-637K shares
5 years-4.9%-2.4M shares
Available history-4.4%-2.1M shares

GEF-B has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GEF-B Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated
Q3 20243.9xElevated
Q2 20244.0xElevated
Q1 20242.8xModerate
Q4 20232.4xModerate

GEF-B's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

GEF-B Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic33.8Neutral

GEF-B's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

GEF-B PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGEF-BSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

GEF-B has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

GEF-B Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$108.27.6% below
20 week MA$105.45.2% below
50 week MA$91.88.8% above
100 week MA$77.729% above
200 week MA$73.835% above

GEF-B has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

GEF-B Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.6$48.8-5.4%
2021$48.8$57.4+18%
2022$57.4$77.1+34%
2023$77.1$66.0-14%
2024$66.0$68.6+3.9%
2025$68.6$75.8+10%
2026 YTD$75.8$99.9+32%

GEF-B has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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