BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

GEF

Greif, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score GEF yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GEF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Unavailable
Under pressure

GEF's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GEF PE Valuation

GEF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over GEF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

GEF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GEF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and GEF's risk to reward.

GEF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $71.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and GEF's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

GEF Earnings Per Share

GEF and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over GEF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GEF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $995MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $995MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+2.7%
Q1 2026$1.1B-23%
Q4 2025$994.8M-21%
Q3 2025$701.3M-51%
Q3 2025$1.1B-22%
Q2 2025$1.4B+1.1%
Q1 2025$1.3B+5%
Q4 2024$1.4B+8.3%

GEF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

GEF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: โˆ’$51MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: โˆ’$67MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $157MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$57MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: โˆ’$51MQ2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $32MQ4 2024: $142MQ1 2025: โˆ’$67MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $157MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$57MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$49.1M-69%
Q1 2026$59.8M-44%
Q4 2025-$57.4M+$9.1M
Q3 2025$156.9M+390%
Q2 2025$106.4M+129%
Q1 2025-$66.5M-$15.4M
Q4 2024$142.1M+13%
Q3 2024$32M-80%

GEF has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

GEF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+32K shares
1 year-2.8%-1.3M shares
3 years-1.4%-637K shares
5 years-4.9%-2.4M shares
Available history-4.4%-2.1M shares

GEF has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

GEF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.9xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated
Q3 20243.9xElevated
Q2 20244.0xElevated
Q1 20242.8xModerate
Q4 20232.4xModerate

GEF's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

GEF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic14.5Oversold

GEF's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

GEF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGEFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

GEF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

GEF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.610% below
20 week MA$81.312% below
50 week MA$73.93.5% below
100 week MA$67.16.3% above
200 week MA$66.17.8% above

GEF has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

GEF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.4$47.1+6%
2021$47.1$57.2+22%
2022$57.2$68.2+19%
2023$68.2$65.6-3.8%
2024$65.6$61.3-6.6%
2025$61.3$70.2+15%
2026 YTD$70.2$71.3+1.6%

GEF has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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