BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over FWDI overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
FWDI
Forward Industries, Inc.
FWDI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
FWDI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
FWDI's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
FWDI PE Valuation
FWDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FWDI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FWDI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over FWDI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FWDI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.28 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$31.55 | -$27.50 |
| Q1 2026 | -$31.52 | -$27.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$29.86 | -$27.04 |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.59 | -$22.01 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.05 | -$0.89 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.64 | -$0.34 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.82 | +$0.88 |
| Q3 2024 | -$2.58 | +$1.12 |
FWDI lost $31.55 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last seven quarters.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over FWDI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FWDI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.8M | +332% |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +315% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.4M | +224% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.9M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5M | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1M | -60% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.6M | -7.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $7.3M | +44% |
FWDI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $11M last quarter, up 332% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -652% | -549 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2192% | -2134 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2723% | -2712 points |
| Q3 2025 | -39% | -31 points |
| Q2 2025 | -103% | -98 points |
| Q1 2025 | -58% | -51 points |
| Q4 2024 | -11% | -5.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | -8.6% | -48 points |
FWDI's operating margin was −652% last quarter, down 549 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
FWDI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$3.4M | -$2.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.8M | -$4.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$7.9M | -$7.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.3M | -597% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.2M | -379% |
| Q1 2025 | -$563.2K | +$101.7K |
| Q4 2024 | -$415.6K | -531% |
| Q3 2024 | $463.7K | +1% |
FWDI has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over FWDI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
FWDI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -8.7% | -8.2M shares |
| 1 year | +7774% | +85.6M shares |
| 3 years | +8517% | +85.7M shares |
| 5 years | +8649% | +85.7M shares |
| Available history | +8995% | +85.7M shares |
FWDI has 87M diluted shares, up 7774% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $47.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
FWDI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
FWDI has more cash than debt.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
FWDI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.8 | Neutral |
FWDI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
FWDI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FWDI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
FWDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
FWDI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.85 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.80 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.57 | 8.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.85 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.50 | 32% below |
FWDI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
FWDI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.94 | $18.8 | +89% |
| 2021 | $18.8 | $16.0 | -15% |
| 2022 | $16.0 | $11.2 | -30% |
| 2023 | $11.2 | $7.29 | -35% |
| 2024 | $7.29 | $5.16 | -29% |
| 2025 | $5.16 | $7.03 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.03 | $5.08 | -28% |
FWDI has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.