BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over FOXF overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

FOXF

Fox Factory Holding Corp.

43
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

FOXF offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FOXF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Stable
Under pressure

FOXF's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FOXF PE Valuation

FOXF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over FOXF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

FOXF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect FOXF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FOXF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FOXF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$23.54
Downside-26%$12.77

Calculated from the latest close: $17.32 on Nov 12.

FOXF trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over FOXF on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FOXF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $1.79Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $-5.99Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-6.18Q1 2026: $-13.03Q2 2026: $-7.16Q3 2026: $-7.13Q4 2026: $-9.72Forward: $1.18
Q4 2023: $2.85Q1 2024: $1.79Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.16Q2 2025: $-5.99Q3 2025: $-6.05Q4 2025: $-6.18Q1 2026: $-13.03Q2 2026: $-7.16Q3 2026: $-7.13Q4 2026: $-9.72Forward: $1.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.18—
Q3 2026-$9.72-$3.54
Q2 2026-$7.13-$1.08
Q1 2026-$7.16-$1.17
Q4 2025-$13.03-8244%
Q3 2025-$6.18-2477%
Q2 2025-$6.05-717%
Q1 2025-$5.99-435%
Q4 2024$0.16-94%

FOXF lost $9.72 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over FOXF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FOXF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $333MQ2 2024: $348MQ3 2024: $359MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $376MQ1 2026: $361MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: $358MQ4 2026: $338M
Q4 2023: $332MQ1 2024: $333MQ2 2024: $348MQ3 2024: $359MQ1 2025: $353MQ2 2025: $355MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $376MQ1 2026: $361MQ2 2026: $369MQ3 2026: $358MQ4 2026: $338M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$338.4M-10%
Q2 2026$358.1M-4.5%
Q1 2026$368.7M+3.8%
Q4 2025$361.1M+2.3%
Q3 2025$376.4M+4.8%
Q2 2025$374.9M+7.6%
Q1 2025$355M+6.5%
Q4 2024$352.8M+6.1%

FOXF's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $338M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

FOXF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: −$555,000Q2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $25MQ4 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: −$555,000Q2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: $25MQ4 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M+$59.4M
Q2 2026$25.1M+2.3%
Q1 2026-$21.5M-$15M
Q4 2025$11.4M-84%
Q3 2025-$2.5M-177%
Q2 2025$24.6M+59%
Q1 2025-$6.5M-$5.9M
Q4 2024$69.8M+87%

FOXF has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

FOXF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42MQ4 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42MQ4 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-235K shares
1 year+0.5%+224K shares
3 years-1.1%-470K shares
5 years-0.8%-323K shares
Available history+7.4%+2.9M shares

FOXF has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FOXF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.4x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20243.4xElevated
Q3 20243.5xElevated
Q2 20243.2xElevated
Q1 20241.7xHealthy
Q4 20231.3xHealthy
Q3 20230.4xVery low
Q2 20230.8xVery low
Q1 20230.9xVery low

FOXF's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.3 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

FOXF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic34.3Neutral

FOXF's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

FOXF PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFOXFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

FOXF has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

FOXF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.20.8% above
20 week MA$18.66.7% below
50 week MA$18.03.8% below
100 week MA$21.620% below
200 week MA$46.863% below

FOXF has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

FOXF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.3$106.6+54%
2021$106.6$163.7+54%
2022$163.7$92.0-44%
2023$92.0$67.5-27%
2024$67.5$29.6-56%
2025$29.6$17.7-40%
2026 YTD$17.7$17.3-2.4%

FOXF has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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