BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over FNKO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
FNKO
Funko, Inc.
FNKO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
FNKO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
FNKO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over FNKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
FNKO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $0.84 | -88% |
| Fair | 18x | $1.29 | -81% |
| Forward | 28x | $6.90 | — |
| Expensive | 39x | $2.71 | -61% |
| Current | 99x | $6.90 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FNKO's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FNKO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect FNKO to return to profit, with revenue growing.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
FNKO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.25 | +252% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.07 | +$1.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.04 | +$1.15 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.05 | -$0.70 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.24 | -$0.96 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.25 | -$0.81 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.19 | -$0.36 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.35 | +$2.12 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.28 | +$2.91 |
FNKO has returned to profit: it earned $0.07 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over FNKO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over FNKO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FNKO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $258.3M | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $207.7M | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.9M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $273.1M | -7% |
| Q3 2025 | $250.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $193.5M | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $190.7M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $293.7M | +0.9% |
FNKO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $258M last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +29 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.8% | +7.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -18% | -22 points |
| Q1 2025 | -12% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9% | +3 points |
FNKO's operating margin was 5.8% last quarter, up 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
FNKO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.7M | +631% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.7M | +$34.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9M | +$30.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.2M | -60% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4M | +$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$31.8M | -187% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28.8M | -378% |
| Q4 2024 | $47.8M | +62% |
FNKO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over FNKO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
FNKO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +649K shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +3.4M shares |
| 3 years | +20% | +9.9M shares |
| 5 years | +39% | +16.3M shares |
| Available history | +76% | +25.2M shares |
FNKO has 58M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over FNKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FNKO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 6.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 13.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
FNKO's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
FNKO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.3 | Neutral |
FNKO's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over FNKO on valuation relative to its sector.
FNKO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FNKO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 18x | 447% above |
| PE % | 94 | 47 | 47 pts above |
FNKO is trading at 99x earnings, a 447% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
FNKO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.41 | 7.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $6.10 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.99 | 38% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.61 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.30 | 5.5% below |
FNKO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
FNKO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.9 | $10.7 | -37% |
| 2021 | $10.7 | $18.7 | +75% |
| 2022 | $18.7 | $9.89 | -47% |
| 2023 | $9.89 | $7.73 | -22% |
| 2024 | $7.73 | $13.2 | +71% |
| 2025 | $13.2 | $3.52 | -73% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.52 | $6.90 | +96% |
FNKO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.