BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
FND has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
FND Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
FND's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
FND PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $48.83 | — |
| Forward | 26x | $48.83 | — |
| Cheap | 29x | $65.06 | +33% |
| Fair | 39x | $86.31 | +77% |
| Expensive | 53x | $118 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FND has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over FND on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
FND Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect FND's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
FND Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.88 | -16% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.23 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.15 | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.84 | -2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.92 | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.00 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.95 | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.89 | -8.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.90 | -16% |
FND earned $2.23 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over FND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over FND on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FND Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +5.7% |
FND's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.9% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | -1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +0.9 points |
FND's operating margin was 6.4% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
FND Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $155.6M | +536% |
| Q2 2026 | $96M | +$105.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $45.8M | +933% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.1M | +1051% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.5M | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | -$10M | -112% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4M | -88% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9M | +$33.2M |
FND has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
FND Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -1.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -1.3M shares |
| 5 years | -0.7% | -788K shares |
| Available history | +1.7% | +1.7M shares |
FND has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $91.4M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
FND Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
FND has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
FND Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.8 | Neutral |
FND's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over FND on valuation relative to its sector.
FND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FND | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 22% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
FND is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
FND Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $47.4 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $51.8 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $55.9 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $68.5 | 29% below |
| 200 week MA | $85.7 | 43% below |
FND has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
FND Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $99.9 | +98% |
| 2021 | $99.9 | $130.0 | +30% |
| 2022 | $130.0 | $71.5 | -45% |
| 2023 | $71.5 | $111.6 | +56% |
| 2024 | $111.6 | $99.9 | -10% |
| 2025 | $99.9 | $62.7 | -37% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.7 | $48.8 | -22% |
FND has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.