BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FLXS

Flexsteel Industries, Inc.

69
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

FLXS has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FLXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FLXS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

FLXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$57.95-23%
Fair13x$78.63+4.7%
Current13x$75.13—
Forward14x$75.13—
Expensive22x$130+72%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FLXS has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FLXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FLXS, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails FLXS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FLXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$116.57
Downside-23%$58.03

Calculated from the latest close: $75.13 on Nov 12.

FLXS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FLXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $2.95Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.53Q4 2024: $3.58Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.54Q3 2025: $4.11Q4 2025: $3.67Q1 2026: $5.52Q2 2026: $6.07Q3 2026: $6.00Forward: $5.54
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $2.95Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.53Q4 2024: $3.58Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.54Q3 2025: $4.11Q4 2025: $3.67Q1 2026: $5.52Q2 2026: $6.07Q3 2026: $6.00Forward: $5.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.54-7.7%
Q3 2026$6.00+46%
Q2 2026$6.07+71%
Q1 2026$5.52+117%
Q4 2025$3.67+2.5%
Q3 2025$4.11+62%
Q2 2025$3.54+83%
Q1 2025$2.54-14%
Q4 2024$3.58+23%

FLXS has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over FLXS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FLXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $114M
Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $114M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114M+3.2%
Q2 2026$115.4M+0.7%
Q1 2026$115.1M+1%
Q4 2025$118.2M+9%
Q3 2025$110.4M+6.2%
Q2 2025$114.6M+3.4%
Q1 2025$114M+6.3%
Q4 2024$108.5M+8.4%

FLXS's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $114M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

FLXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$735,000Q1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: −$735,000Q1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.4M-188%
Q2 2026$23.9M+59%
Q1 2026$21.6M+98%
Q4 2025-$735K-113%
Q3 2025$2.8M+40%
Q2 2025$15.1M+112%
Q1 2025$10.9M+85%
Q4 2024$5.8M-66%

FLXS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

FLXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 4M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-23%-1.3M shares
1 year-23%-1.3M shares
3 years-19%-1M shares
5 years-42%-3.1M shares
Available history-45%-3.6M shares

FLXS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

FLXS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20240.0xVery low
Q1 20240.5xVery low

FLXS has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

FLXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic33.8Neutral

FLXS's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

FLXS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFLXSSector medianRelative
PE13x18x31% below
PE %43474 pts below

FLXS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

FLXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$81.57.8% below
20 week MA$78.74.5% below
50 week MA$61.422% above
100 week MA$50.948% above
200 week MA$40.187% above

FLXS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

FLXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$34.8+70%
2021$34.8$25.7-26%
2022$25.7$15.8-38%
2023$15.8$18.9+19%
2024$18.9$55.4+194%
2025$55.4$40.8-26%
2026 YTD$40.8$75.1+84%

FLXS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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