BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over FLUT overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
FLUT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
FLUT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
FLUT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
FLUT PE Valuation
FLUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
FLUT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FLUT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over FLUT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
FLUT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.80 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$5.24 | -$3.96 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.25 | -307% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.09 | -172% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.75 | -829% |
FLUT lost $5.24 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last six quarters.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over FLUT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
FLUT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9B | +2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.3B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.8B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B | +7.9% |
FLUT has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -31% | -8.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.3% | -13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | -25 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.1% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.4% | N/A |
FLUT's operating margin was −31% last quarter, down 8.8 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2024.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
FLUT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $191M | -2.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $349M | +8.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $305M | +80% |
| Q4 2025 | $392M | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | $196M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $322M | +9.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $169M | -46% |
FLUT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
FLUT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
FLUT has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $129M |
| Q1 2026 | $135M |
| Q4 2025 | $279M |
| Q3 2025 | $261M |
| Q2 2025 | $339M |
| Q1 2025 | $244M |
| Q4 2024 | $219M |
FLUT spent $543M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 49% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over FLUT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
FLUT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 10.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
FLUT's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
FLUT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.1 | Neutral |
FLUT's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
FLUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FLUT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
FLUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
FLUT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.0 | 2.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $93.0 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $119.4 | 31% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.2 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $191.9 | 57% below |
FLUT has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over FLUT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FLUT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $115.0 | $202.5 | +76% |
| 2021 | $202.5 | $152.5 | -25% |
| 2022 | $152.5 | $139.5 | -8.5% |
| 2023 | $139.5 | $179.0 | +28% |
| 2024 | $179.0 | $261.8 | +46% |
| 2025 | $261.8 | $220.7 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $220.7 | $82.0 | -63% |
FLUT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 63% so far in 2026.