BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over ELA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
ELA
Envela Corporation
ELA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ELA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ELA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ELA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $10.14 | -2.4% |
| Current | 12x | $10.39 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $15.50 | +49% |
| Forward | 19x | $10.39 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $25.09 | +141% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ELA has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over ELA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ELA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ELA's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
ELA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.56 | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.85 | +150% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.80 | +176% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.56 | +115% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.41 | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.34 | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.26 | -3.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.25 | -42% |
ELA has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ELA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $56.8M | +3.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $98.4M | +104% |
| Q4 2025 | $80.5M | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.4M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $54.9M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $48.3M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.3M | +32% |
| Q3 2024 | $46.9M | +29% |
ELA has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9% | +3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | +5.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.3% | +3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.5% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 4.3% | -1.1 points |
ELA has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
ELA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5M | +137% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6M | +2658% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.7M | -215% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1M | +$3.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $746.6K | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.2M | +91% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.5M | +172% |
ELA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ELA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -28.5K shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -968K shares |
| 5 years | -3.6% | -976K shares |
| Available history | -3.6% | -961K shares |
ELA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $67,582 |
| Q2 2025 | $118,700 |
| Q1 2025 | $2,626 |
| Q4 2024 | $64,779 |
| Q3 2024 | $728,510 |
| Q2 2024 | $715,339 |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ELA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
ELA has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
ELA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 1.6 | Oversold |
ELA's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
ELA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ELA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 32% below |
| PE % | 20 | 47 | 27 pts below |
ELA has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
ELA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.5 | 10% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.3 | 32% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.6 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.8 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.64 | 20% above |
ELA has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
ELA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.37 | $5.01 | +266% |
| 2021 | $5.01 | $4.10 | -18% |
| 2022 | $4.10 | $5.29 | +29% |
| 2023 | $5.29 | $4.86 | -8.1% |
| 2024 | $4.86 | $7.15 | +47% |
| 2025 | $7.15 | $12.5 | +75% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $10.4 | -17% |
ELA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.