BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ECX

ECARX Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ECX yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ECX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

ECX's profitability is currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ECX PE Valuation

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over ECX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ECX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ECX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and ECX's risk to reward.

ECX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and ECX's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over ECX in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ECX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61โ€”
Q4 2025-$0.20+$0.22
Q4 2024-$0.42$0.00
Q4 2023-$0.42+$0.77
Q4 2022-$1.19+$3.39

ECX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.20 per share over the past year, against $4.58 at its worst in late 2021.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over ECX in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ECX Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$524.6M+3.8%
Q2 2025$323.3M-1.9%
Q4 2024$505.1M-28%
Q4 2023$700.3M+31%
Q4 2022$533.8M+320%

ECX's revenue is growing: $525M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

ECX Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: โˆ’$252,992Q2 2021: โˆ’$89,062Q3 2021: โˆ’$12,969Q4 2021: โˆ’$46,016Q4 2022: โˆ’$80MQ4 2023: โˆ’$196MQ2 2024: โˆ’$71MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ2 2025: โˆ’$86MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20M
Q1 2021: โˆ’$252,992Q2 2021: โˆ’$89,062Q3 2021: โˆ’$12,969Q4 2021: โˆ’$46,016Q4 2022: โˆ’$80MQ4 2023: โˆ’$196MQ2 2024: โˆ’$71MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ2 2025: โˆ’$86MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$20.1M-$9.3M
Q2 2025-$86.5M-$15.5M
Q4 2024-$10.8M+$185.1M
Q4 2023-$195.9M-$115.9M
Q4 2022-$80.1M-$80M

ECX has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$188M over the past year, against โˆ’$276M the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

ECX Total Shares

Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.4%+1.3M shares

ECX has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ECX Net Leverage

ECX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ECX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.4Neutral

ECX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

ECX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

ECX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.886.8% below
20 week MA$1.0018% below
50 week MA$1.2534% below
100 week MA$1.5547% below
200 week MA$2.4767% below

ECX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over ECX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ECX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.70$9.71+0.1%
2022$9.71$8.23-15%
2023$8.23$3.16-62%
2024$3.16$1.89-40%
2025$1.89$1.55-18%
2026 YTD$1.55$0.82-47%

ECX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 47% so far in 2026.

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