BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
DRVN has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
DRVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
DRVN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.8x | $11.53 | — |
| Current | 11x | $11.53 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $14.15 | +23% |
| Fair | 120x | $125 | +981% |
| Expensive | 492x | $511 | +4335% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DRVN has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DRVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DRVN, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
DRVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.31 | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.04 | +$2.74 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | +$2.93 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | +$2.65 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | -4233% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.70 | +$3.01 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.81 | +$2.86 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.82 | +$2.71 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.03 | +$4.31 |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DRVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $507.4M | -7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $484.4M | -6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $460.1M | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $535.7M | -9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $551M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $516.2M | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $564.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $591.7M | +1.8% |
DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +7.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +74 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.9% | -6.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -57% | -65 points |
| Q3 2024 | 6.7% | +163 points |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
DRVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $28.9M | +221% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $36.2M | +$72.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +$28.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.9M | +$48.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$36.3M | +$54.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $37.9M | +$103M |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
DRVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +299K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +786K shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -2M shares |
| 5 years | -0.9% | -1.6M shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $49.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over DRVN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DRVN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 71.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 63.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 7.5x | High |
DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
DRVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DRVN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 0 | 50 | 50 pts below |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
DRVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.9 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.9 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.5 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.0 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.3 | 29% below |
DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
DRVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $26.7 | $33.3 | +25% |
| 2022 | $33.3 | $26.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $26.8 | $14.3 | -47% |
| 2024 | $14.3 | $16.2 | +14% |
| 2025 | $16.2 | $14.8 | -8.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.8 | $11.5 | -22% |
DRVN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.