BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DPZ
Domino's Pizza, Inc.
DPZ has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
DPZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Weak |
DPZ's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
DPZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $333 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $438 | +31% |
| Fair | 29x | $521 | +56% |
| Expensive | 35x | $629 | +89% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DPZ has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DPZ Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for DPZ to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
DPZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.15 | +6.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.63 | +2.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.37 | -0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.57 | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.11 | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.22 | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.44 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.69 | +14% |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over DPZ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DPZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +6.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +2.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +2.9% |
DPZ's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +0.6 points |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
DPZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $166.7M | -0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $146.9M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.3M | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $164.3M | +59% |
| Q2 2024 | $127.2M | +17% |
| Q1 2024 | $103.3M | +8% |
| Q2 2023 | $108.7M | +100% |
| Q1 2023 | $95.7M | +44% |
DPZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2020: $645M over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
DPZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +33.2K shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -1M shares |
| 3 years | -6.3% | -2.2M shares |
| 5 years | -9% | -3.3M shares |
| Available history | -21% | -8.8M shares |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $159.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $75.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $74.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $153M |
| Q1 2025 | $50M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $25M |
| Q2 2023 | $90.8M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over DPZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DPZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.0x | High |
DPZ's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.7 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
DPZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.0 | Neutral |
DPZ's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
DPZ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DPZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 1.9% above |
| PE % | 4 | 47 | 43 pts below |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
DPZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $312.8 | 6.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $322.6 | 3.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $352.3 | 5.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $400.4 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $401.8 | 17% below |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
DPZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $292.3 | $396.7 | +36% |
| 2021 | $396.7 | $545.8 | +38% |
| 2022 | $545.8 | $353.0 | -35% |
| 2023 | $353.0 | $412.2 | +17% |
| 2024 | $412.2 | $429.6 | +4.2% |
| 2025 | $429.6 | $425.6 | -0.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $425.6 | $333.2 | -22% |
DPZ has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.