BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DOO
BRP Inc.
DOO has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
DOO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
DOO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over DOO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DOO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $23.87 | -62% |
| Fair | 12x | $31.41 | -51% |
| Expensive | 25x | $63.60 | +0.2% |
| Current | 25x | $63.48 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DOO's PE is 25x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DOO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DOO, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over DOO on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DOO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.57 | +$3.14 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.77 | +$4.85 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.18 | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.40 | -118% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.57 | -111% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.08 | -131% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.78 | -78% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.28 | -74% |
DOO has returned to profit: it earned $2.57 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over DOO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DOO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -16% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.3B | -35% |
DOO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $1.7B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9.3% | +4.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.8% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1% | -5.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.3% | -7.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.1% | -8.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 7.4% | -6.4 points |
DOO has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
DOO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $258.2M | +130% |
| Q1 2026 | $214.6M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $229.8M | +535% |
| Q3 2025 | $55.7M | +$93M |
| Q2 2025 | $112.5M | +422% |
| Q1 2025 | $127M | -48% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.2M | -61% |
| Q3 2024 | -$37.3M | -115% |
DOO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
DOO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -378K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +418K shares |
| 3 years | -8.1% | -6.5M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -13.7M shares |
| Available history | -24% | -23M shares |
DOO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $31.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $35.4M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $118.6M |
DOO spent $67M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 44% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over DOO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DOO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
DOO's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
DOO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.1 | Neutral |
DOO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over DOO on valuation relative to its sector.
DOO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DOO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 37% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
DOO is trading at 25x earnings, a 37% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
DOO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $58.5 | 8.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $60.7 | 4.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $64.9 | 2.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.6 | 10% above |
| 200 week MA | $63.9 | 0.7% below |
DOO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
DOO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.5 | $66.0 | +45% |
| 2021 | $66.0 | $84.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $84.9 | $75.4 | -11% |
| 2023 | $75.4 | $71.7 | -4.9% |
| 2024 | $71.7 | $50.3 | -30% |
| 2025 | $50.3 | $72.6 | +44% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.6 | $63.5 | -13% |
DOO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.