BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DIBS

1stdibs.Com, Inc.

57
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

DIBS has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DIBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

DIBS's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

DIBS PE Valuation

DIBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over DIBS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

DIBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect DIBS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails DIBS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DIBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$8.58
Downside-32%$3.96

Calculated from the latest close: $5.83 on Nov 12.

DIBS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over DIBS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

DIBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.49Q1 2025: $-0.55Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.49Q1 2025: $-0.55Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.15+$0.35
Q2 2026-$0.21+$0.34
Q1 2026-$0.30+$0.25
Q4 2025-$0.38+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.50-$0.08
Q2 2025-$0.55-$0.20
Q1 2025-$0.55-$0.11
Q4 2024-$0.49+$0.08

DIBS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.15 per share over the past year, against $0.83 at its worst in mid-2023.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over DIBS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DIBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.1M+5.1%
Q2 2026$23.3M+5.3%
Q1 2026$22.4M-0.7%
Q4 2025$23M+0.9%
Q3 2025$22M+3.7%
Q2 2025$22.1M-0.4%
Q1 2025$22.5M+2.2%
Q4 2024$22.8M+8.8%

DIBS's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $23M last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

DIBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$44,000Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$143,000Q2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $827,000Q2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$44,000Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$143,000Q2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $827,000Q2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$4.4M
Q2 2026-$5.1M+$121K
Q1 2026$827K+$970K
Q4 2025$3.6M+30%
Q3 2025-$1.5M-$1.4M
Q2 2025-$5.2M-$2.2M
Q1 2025-$143K+$3.1M
Q4 2024$2.8M+$4.9M

DIBS has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

DIBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-727K shares
1 year-7.2%-2.6M shares
3 years-16%-6.2M shares
5 years+103%+17.1M shares
Available history+9.9%+3M shares

DIBS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DIBS Net Leverage

DIBS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

DIBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.5Neutral
Stochastic87.5Overbought

DIBS's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

DIBS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

DIBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

DIBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.6725% above
20 week MA$4.6126% above
50 week MA$5.0017% above
100 week MA$4.0843% above
200 week MA$4.3036% above

DIBS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

DIBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.1$12.8-47%
2022$12.8$5.00-61%
2023$5.00$4.68-6.4%
2024$4.68$3.69-21%
2025$3.69$5.91+60%
2026 YTD$5.91$5.83-1.4%

DIBS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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