BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over DFH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
DFH
Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
DFH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
DFH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
DFH's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over DFH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DFH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $6.22 | -44% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $8.44 | -23% |
| Current | 12x | $11.01 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $13.01 | +18% |
| Forward | 392x | $11.01 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DFH's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 392x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over DFH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
DFH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect DFH's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over DFH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DFH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.03 | -97% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.95 | -67% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.42 | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.71 | -49% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.14 | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.85 | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.08 | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.33 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.34 | +20% |
DFH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.95 over the past year, against $3.34 in late 2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over DFH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over DFH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DFH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $996M | +2.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $887.8M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $969.8M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $989.9M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +37% |
DFH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $996M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3% | -4.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5% | -3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1% | -5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.3% | -2.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.4% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.2% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -1.1 points |
DFH's operating margin was 1.3% last quarter, down 4.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
DFH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$158.5M | -$22.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$107.2M | -$28.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$54.8M | -$6.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $136M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | -$135.7M | +$86.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$78.8M | +$33.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$47.9M | +$201.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $302.6M | +38% |
DFH has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
DFH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -714K shares |
| 1 year | -9.9% | -10M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -11.4M shares |
| 5 years | -2.2% | -2.1M shares |
| Available history | -2% | -1.9M shares |
DFH has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6M |
| Q2 2026 | $14.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $18.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $16.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $7M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2M |
DFH spent $48M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over DFH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DFH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
DFH's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
DFH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.9 | Neutral |
DFH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
DFH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DFH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 36% below |
| PE % | 73 | 51 | 22 pts above |
DFH has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
DFH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.5 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.9 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.2 | 27% below |
| 100 week MA | $19.5 | 44% below |
| 200 week MA | $23.1 | 52% below |
DFH has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over DFH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
DFH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $21.4 | $19.1 | -11% |
| 2022 | $19.1 | $9.50 | -50% |
| 2023 | $9.50 | $35.5 | +274% |
| 2024 | $35.5 | $23.2 | -35% |
| 2025 | $23.2 | $17.9 | -23% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.9 | $11.0 | -38% |
DFH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2023 to −50% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.