BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CVSA

Covista Inc.

68
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

CVSA has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CVSA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

CVSA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over CVSA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVSA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$44.17-63%
Forward13x$119—
Current16x$119—
Fair18x$135+14%
Expensive24x$173+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVSA's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVSA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVSA, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails CVSA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CVSA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$165.51
Downside-18%$97.67

Calculated from the latest close: $119.00 on Nov 12.

CVSA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CVSA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.71Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $4.32Q4 2024: $5.32Q1 2025: $5.98Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.67Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.32Forward: $9.18
Q4 2023: $2.71Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $4.32Q4 2024: $5.32Q1 2025: $5.98Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.67Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.32Forward: $9.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.18+25%
Q3 2026$7.32+9.7%
Q2 2026$7.04+14%
Q1 2026$6.41+7.2%
Q4 2025$6.80+28%
Q3 2025$6.67+54%
Q2 2025$6.18+82%
Q1 2025$5.98+127%
Q4 2024$5.32+96%

CVSA has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVSA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $501MQ3 2026: $512M
Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $501MQ3 2026: $512M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$511.5M+11%
Q2 2026$501.4M+9.7%
Q1 2026$487M+4.5%
Q4 2025$503.4M+12%
Q3 2025$462.3M+11%
Q2 2025$457.1M+12%
Q1 2025$466.1M+13%
Q4 2024$447.7M+14%

CVSA has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

CVSA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$76.4M-33%
Q2 2026$97.1M+139%
Q1 2026$165.9M-16%
Q4 2025$15.1M+$44.8M
Q3 2025$114.5M+45%
Q2 2025$40.7M-6.8%
Q1 2025$197.7M+40%
Q4 2024-$29.7M-$7.3M

CVSA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

CVSA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.2%-1.1M shares
1 year-6.7%-2.5M shares
3 years-18%-7.6M shares
5 years-30%-15.1M shares
Available history-36%-19.5M shares

CVSA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over CVSA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CVSA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

CVSA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CVSA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.3Neutral
Stochastic24.4Neutral

CVSA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

CVSA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVSASector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.8% below
PE %334714 pts below

CVSA has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CVSA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$123.53.6% below
20 week MA$126.45.8% below
50 week MA$117.51.3% above
100 week MA$116.52.2% above
200 week MA$85.939% above

CVSA has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

CVSA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$34.4-1.8%
2021$34.4$30.0-13%
2022$30.0$36.2+20%
2023$36.2$59.0+63%
2024$59.0$90.9+54%
2025$90.9$104.7+15%
2026 YTD$104.7$119.0+14%

CVSA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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