BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc.
CVCO has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CVCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over CVCO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CVCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $256 | -60% |
| Fair | 23x | $541 | -16% |
| Forward | 24x | $642 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $619 | -3.6% |
| Current | 27x | $642 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVCO's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVCO, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
CVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.42 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.61 | -2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.99 | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.98 | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.97 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.29 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.02 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.71 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.34 | +3.1% |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $656.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $610M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $550.1M | +8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $581M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $556.5M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $556.9M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $508.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $522M | +17% |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.7% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.4 points |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
CVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.7M | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $49M | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $59.3M | +83% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $68.7M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.4M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +126% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.3M | -21% |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
CVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -49.6K shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -258K shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -997K shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -1.6M shares |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $34.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $42.2M |
CVCO spent $134M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
CVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
CVCO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over CVCO on valuation relative to its sector.
CVCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 18x | 51% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
CVCO is trading at 27x earnings, a 51% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
CVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $578.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $572.7 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $563.0 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $530.2 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $434.4 | 48% above |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
CVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $194.0 | $181.5 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $181.5 | $302.7 | +67% |
| 2022 | $302.7 | $226.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $226.9 | $346.6 | +53% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $443.3 | +28% |
| 2025 | $443.3 | $600.4 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $600.4 | $642.0 | +6.9% |
CVCO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.