BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CRI
Carter's, Inc.
CRI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CRI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
CRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.6x | $33.87 | — |
| Cheap | 8.6x | $51.89 | +53% |
| Forward | 10x | $33.87 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $74.79 | +121% |
| Expensive | 18x | $107 | +215% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRI has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over CRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect CRI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over CRI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.24 | -46% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.03 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.35 | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.49 | -45% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.46 | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.76 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.51 | -29% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.12 | -18% |
CRI earned $6.03 per share over the past year, up 145% from the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over CRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $752.5M | -0.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $615.5M | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $681.1M | +8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $925.5M | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $757.8M | -0.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $585.3M | +3.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $629.8M | -4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $859.7M | +0.2% |
CRI's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $752M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.4% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +22 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.2% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | -6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.7% | -6.2 points |
CRI has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
CRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$117.4M | +$26.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $190M | +688% |
| Q1 2026 | -$543K | +$58.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $247.6M | -8.6% |
| Q3 2025 | -$144.1M | -$48.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $24.1M | -77% |
| Q1 2025 | -$59M | -$21.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $270.9M | -11% |
CRI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
CRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +36.1K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +192K shares |
| 3 years | -2.2% | -806K shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -7.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -9.1M shares |
CRI has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $16.7M |
| Q2 2024 | $24.8M |
| Q1 2024 | $9M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
CRI has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
CRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 29.2 | Neutral |
CRI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
CRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.6x | 18x | 69% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
CRI has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
CRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.1 | 5.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $34.7 | 2.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $35.7 | 5% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.0 | 6% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.7 | 36% below |
CRI has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
CRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $110.1 | $95.0 | -14% |
| 2021 | $95.0 | $98.7 | +3.9% |
| 2022 | $98.7 | $73.4 | -26% |
| 2023 | $73.4 | $74.9 | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $74.9 | $54.4 | -27% |
| 2025 | $54.4 | $31.7 | -42% |
| 2026 YTD | $31.7 | $33.9 | +6.9% |
CRI has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.