BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over CPS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

CPS

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.

48
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

CPS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

CPS's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CPS PE Valuation

CPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CPS, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails CPS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$25.80
Downside-29%$12.86

Calculated from the latest close: $18.18 on Nov 12.

CPS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over CPS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-11.64Q1 2024: $-5.88Q2 2024: $-8.61Q3 2024: $-9.89Q4 2024: $-4.48Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-3.13Q3 2026: $-3.83Forward: $3.44
Q4 2023: $-11.64Q1 2024: $-5.88Q2 2024: $-8.61Q3 2024: $-9.89Q4 2024: $-4.48Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-2.17Q2 2026: $-3.13Q3 2026: $-3.83Forward: $3.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.44—
Q3 2026-$3.83-304%
Q2 2026-$3.13-286%
Q1 2026-$2.17+$0.41
Q4 2025-$0.23+$4.25
Q3 2025$1.88+$11.77
Q2 2025$1.68+$10.29
Q1 2025-$2.58+$3.30
Q4 2024-$4.48+$7.16

CPS has swung to a loss: it lost $3.83 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over CPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $676MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $685MQ4 2024: $661MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $706MQ3 2025: $696MQ4 2025: $672MQ1 2026: $686MQ2 2026: $721MQ3 2026: $709M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $676MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $685MQ4 2024: $661MQ1 2025: $667MQ2 2025: $706MQ3 2025: $696MQ4 2025: $672MQ1 2026: $686MQ2 2026: $721MQ3 2026: $709M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$708.6M+1.9%
Q2 2026$721.3M+2.2%
Q1 2026$686.4M+2.9%
Q4 2025$672.4M+1.8%
Q3 2025$695.5M+1.5%
Q2 2025$706M-0.3%
Q1 2025$667.1M-1.4%
Q3 2024$685.4M-6.9%

CPS's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $709M last quarter, up 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

CPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$32MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: −$32MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: −$93MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.8M-139%
Q2 2026$16.3M+$39.7M
Q1 2026-$93.2M-$60.8M
Q4 2025$44.6M-30%
Q3 2025$27.4M+62%
Q2 2025-$23.4M-$96K
Q1 2025-$32.4M-$1.4M
Q4 2024$63.2M+1.8%

CPS has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

CPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+7.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+134K shares
3 years+2.8%+499K shares
5 years+5.6%+962K shares
Available history+4.9%+851K shares

CPS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over CPS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CPS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 7.3x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 7.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 5.5xQ2 2026: 6.4xQ3 2026: 7.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.3xHigh
Q2 20266.4xHigh
Q1 20265.5xHigh
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

CPS's net debt is about 7.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.4 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.3Oversold
Stochastic7.3Oversold

CPS's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

CPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCPSSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

CPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.411% below
20 week MA$24.626% below
50 week MA$28.937% below
100 week MA$26.130% below
200 week MA$20.411% below

CPS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over CPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.4$36.0+11%
2021$36.0$20.8-42%
2022$20.8$6.50-69%
2023$6.50$19.5+201%
2024$19.5$13.9-29%
2025$13.9$33.1+139%
2026 YTD$33.1$18.2-45%

CPS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +201% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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