BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over COOK overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

COOK

Traeger, Inc.

51
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

COOK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

COOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Strong
Weak

COOK's cash flow is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

COOK PE Valuation

COOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 37x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COOK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect COOK to return to profit, with revenue growing.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails COOK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$108.28
Downside-47%$30.75

Calculated from the latest close: $57.64 on Nov 12.

COOK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over COOK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-34.00Q1 2024: $-31.50Q2 2024: $-20.00Q3 2024: $-19.50Q4 2024: $-13.50Q1 2025: $-12.00Q2 2025: $-14.00Q3 2025: $-40.00Q4 2025: $-43.50Q1 2026: $-41.92Q2 2026: $-42.04Q3 2026: $-18.87Forward: $1.55
Q4 2023: $-34.00Q1 2024: $-31.50Q2 2024: $-20.00Q3 2024: $-19.50Q4 2024: $-13.50Q1 2025: $-12.00Q2 2025: $-14.00Q3 2025: $-40.00Q4 2025: $-43.50Q1 2026: $-41.92Q2 2026: $-42.04Q3 2026: $-18.87Forward: $1.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.55—
Q3 2026-$18.87+$21.13
Q2 2026-$42.04-$28.04
Q1 2026-$41.92-$29.92
Q4 2025-$43.50-$30.00
Q3 2025-$40.00-$20.50
Q2 2025-$14.00+$6.00
Q1 2025-$12.00+$19.50
Q4 2024-$13.50+$20.50

COOK is still losing money, but far less than before: $18.87 per share over the past year, against $162.21 at its worst in late 2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over COOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $163MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $168MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $143MQ2 2025: $145MQ3 2025: $125MQ4 2025: $145MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $163MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $168MQ3 2024: $122MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $143MQ2 2025: $145MQ3 2025: $125MQ4 2025: $145MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$74.7M-40%
Q2 2026$120.2M-17%
Q1 2026$94.1M-34%
Q4 2025$145.4M-14%
Q3 2025$125.4M+2.7%
Q2 2025$145.5M-14%
Q1 2025$143.3M-1.1%
Q4 2024$168.6M+3.2%

COOK's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $75M last quarter, down 40% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

COOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.4M+32%
Q2 2026$26.5M+69%
Q1 2026$14.5M+$37.2M
Q4 2025$14.2M+158%
Q3 2025$6.4M-50%
Q2 2025$15.7M+33%
Q1 2025-$22.7M-$4.4M
Q4 2024$5.5M-64%

COOK has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over COOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+13.8K shares
1 year+2.9%+77.8K shares
3 years+11%+281K shares
5 years+21%+474K shares
Available history+17%+411K shares

COOK has 3M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over COOK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COOK Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 25.9xQ3 2024: 18.8xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 11.5xQ2 2025: 16.0xQ3 2026: 315.2x
Q2 2024: 25.9xQ3 2024: 18.8xQ4 2024: 11.9xQ1 2025: 11.5xQ2 2025: 16.0xQ3 2026: 315.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026315.2xHigh
Q2 202516.0xHigh
Q1 202511.5xHigh
Q4 202411.9xHigh
Q3 202418.8xHigh
Q2 202425.9xHigh
Q3 202132.0xHigh
Q2 20213.9xElevated

COOK's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 19 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

COOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.0Neutral
Stochastic55.3Neutral

COOK's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

COOK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

COOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

COOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.59.8% above
20 week MA$57.01.1% above
50 week MA$51.911% above
100 week MA$66.914% below
200 week MA$110.948% below

COOK has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

COOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$1,110.5$632.0-43%
2022$632.0$133.0-79%
2023$133.0$136.5+2.6%
2024$136.5$120.0-12%
2025$120.0$52.5-56%
2026 YTD$52.5$57.6+9.8%

COOK has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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