BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has a slight edge over CNTY overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

CNTY

Century Casinos, Inc.

52
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

CNTY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CNTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

CNTY's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CNTY PE Valuation

CNTY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over CNTY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CNTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CNTY's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails CNTY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$0.87
Downside-32%$0.41

Calculated from the latest close: $0.60 on Nov 12.

CNTY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over CNTY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CNTY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.70Q4 2023: $-0.93Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-2.64Q3 2024: $-2.43Q4 2024: $-5.02Q1 2025: $-5.24Q2 2025: $-4.28Q3 2025: $-4.37Q4 2025: $-2.04Q1 2026: $-1.95Q2 2026: $-1.94
Q3 2023: $-0.70Q4 2023: $-0.93Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-2.64Q3 2024: $-2.43Q4 2024: $-5.02Q1 2025: $-5.24Q2 2025: $-4.28Q3 2025: $-4.37Q4 2025: $-2.04Q1 2026: $-1.95Q2 2026: $-1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.94+$2.34
Q1 2026-$1.95+$3.29
Q4 2025-$2.04+$2.98
Q3 2025-$4.37-$1.94
Q2 2025-$4.28-$1.64
Q1 2025-$5.24-$3.90
Q4 2024-$5.02-$4.09
Q3 2024-$2.43-$1.73

CNTY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.94 per share over the past year, against $5.24 at its worst in early 2025.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over CNTY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNTY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $161MQ4 2023: $144MQ1 2024: $136MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $130MQ2 2025: $151MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $152M
Q3 2023: $161MQ4 2023: $144MQ1 2024: $136MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $130MQ2 2025: $151MQ3 2025: $154MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $152M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$152M+0.8%
Q1 2026$137.2M+5.2%
Q4 2025$138M+0.2%
Q3 2025$153.7M-1.3%
Q2 2025$150.8M+3%
Q1 2025$130.4M-4.1%
Q4 2024$137.8M-4.2%
Q3 2024$155.7M-3.4%

CNTY's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $152M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

CNTY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$9MQ4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$9MQ4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.4M-0.8%
Q1 2026-$3.9M+$7.4M
Q4 2025-$4.7M+$12.3M
Q3 2025-$4.7M-$2M
Q2 2025$5.5M+$18.4M
Q1 2025-$11.3M+$18.6M
Q4 2024-$16.9M+$4.6M
Q3 2024-$2.8M+$6.3M

CNTY has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

CNTY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28M
Q3 2023: 30MQ4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-438K shares
1 year-7.8%-2.4M shares
3 years-7.1%-2.1M shares
5 years-8.9%-2.7M shares
Available history-6.6%-2M shares

CNTY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over CNTY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CNTY Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.4xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 8.4xQ1 2025: 9.2xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2025: 8.7xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 1.4xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 8.4xQ1 2025: 9.2xQ2 2025: 8.3xQ3 2025: 8.7xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20258.7xHigh
Q2 20258.3xHigh
Q1 20259.2xHigh
Q4 20248.4xHigh
Q3 20242.1xModerate

CNTY's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CNTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI22.4Oversold
Stochastic12.8Oversold

CNTY's weekly RSI is 22 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

CNTY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCNTYSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

CNTY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CNTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.7823% below
20 week MA$1.0442% below
50 week MA$1.2953% below
100 week MA$1.7966% below
200 week MA$3.3282% below

CNTY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over CNTY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CNTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.81$6.41-18%
2021$6.41$12.7+99%
2022$12.7$7.05-45%
2023$7.05$4.88-31%
2024$4.88$3.16-35%
2025$3.16$1.40-56%
2026 YTD$1.40$0.60-57%

CNTY has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 57% so far in 2026.

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