BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CHWY

Chewy, Inc.

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CHWY has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CHWY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

CHWY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CHWY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1000x2000x2999x3999x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1000x2000x2999x3999x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$22.60—
Current34x$22.60—
Cheap37x$24.73+9.4%
Fair94x$62.06+175%
Expensive623x$411+1720%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHWY has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHWY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHWY, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails CHWY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CHWY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$35.18
Downside-21%$17.92

Calculated from the latest close: $22.60 on Nov 12.

CHWY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CHWY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.83Q4 2024: $0.92Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $1.02
Q4 2023: $0.03Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.83Q4 2024: $0.92Q1 2025: $0.91Q2 2025: $0.91Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $0.50Q1 2026: $0.52Q2 2026: $0.60Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.02+54%
Q3 2026$0.66+78%
Q2 2026$0.60-34%
Q1 2026$0.52-43%
Q4 2025$0.50-46%
Q3 2025$0.37-55%
Q2 2025$0.91+379%
Q1 2025$0.91+911%
Q4 2024$0.92+2967%

CHWY has the edge over BABA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CHWY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+7.3%
Q2 2026$3.4B+7.7%
Q1 2026$3.3B+0.5%
Q4 2025$3.1B+8.3%
Q3 2025$3.1B+8.6%
Q2 2025$3.1B+8.3%
Q1 2025$3.2B+14%
Q4 2024$2.9B+5.1%

CHWY has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

CHWY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $232MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $157MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $232MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89.5M-15%
Q2 2026$70.8M+45%
Q1 2026$232M+48%
Q4 2025$175.8M+16%
Q3 2025$105.9M+16%
Q2 2025$48.7M-7.5%
Q1 2025$156.6M+136%
Q4 2024$151.8M+213%

CHWY has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

CHWY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 427MQ1 2025: 431MQ2 2025: 425MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 426MQ1 2026: 426MQ2 2026: 419MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 438MQ4 2024: 427MQ1 2025: 431MQ2 2025: 425MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 426MQ1 2026: 426MQ2 2026: 419MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-9M shares
1 year-4.3%-18.3M shares
3 years-5%-21.5M shares
5 years-1.6%-6.6M shares
Available history+2.2%+8.8M shares

CHWY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CHWY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -9.0xQ3 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

CHWY has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CHWY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic58.6Neutral

CHWY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over CHWY on valuation relative to its sector.

CHWY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCHWYSector medianRelative
PE34x18x90% above
PE %74740 pts below

CHWY is trading at 34x earnings, a 90% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CHWY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.69.8% above
20 week MA$21.45.4% above
50 week MA$24.47.5% below
100 week MA$31.027% below
200 week MA$29.022% below

CHWY has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

CHWY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.6$104.0+263%
2021$104.0$59.3-43%
2022$59.3$39.3-34%
2023$39.3$23.6-40%
2024$23.6$34.1+44%
2025$34.1$32.5-4.6%
2026 YTD$32.5$22.6-30%

CHWY has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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