BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CATO

The Cato Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score CATO yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CATO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

CATO's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CATO PE Valuation

CATO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CATO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CATO to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and CATO's risk to reward.

CATO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.27 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and CATO's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over CATO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CATO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.16Q1 2024: $-1.17Q2 2024: $-0.85Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-1.39Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-1.34Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $-0.30
Q4 2023: $-0.16Q1 2024: $-1.17Q2 2024: $-0.85Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-1.39Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-1.34Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.31Q2 2026: $-0.01Q3 2026: $-0.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.30+$0.70
Q2 2026-$0.01+$1.33
Q1 2026-$0.31+$0.66
Q4 2025-$0.49+$0.90
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.10
Q2 2025-$1.34-$0.49
Q1 2025-$0.97+$0.20
Q4 2024-$1.39-$1.23

CATO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.30 per share over the past year, against $2.01 at its worst in early 2021.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over CATO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CATO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $169MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $171MQ3 2026: $166M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $175MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $169MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $177MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: $171MQ3 2026: $166M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$165.5M-6.2%
Q2 2026$171.1M+0.5%
Q1 2026$151.7M-4%
Q4 2025$155.4M+6.3%
Q3 2025$176.5M+4.7%
Q2 2025$170.2M-3.9%
Q1 2025$157.9M-9.7%
Q4 2024$146.2M-7.6%

CATO's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $166M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

CATO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: โˆ’$13MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$12MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: โˆ’$13MQ1 2026: โˆ’$6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M+26%
Q2 2026$7M+145%
Q1 2026-$5.6M+$2.3M
Q4 2025-$12.9M+$10.9M
Q3 2025$10.4M+555%
Q2 2025$2.8M+17%
Q1 2025-$7.8M+$5.6M
Q4 2024-$23.8M-$12.1M

CATO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over CATO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CATO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+182K shares
1 year+1%+191K shares
3 years-2%-395K shares
5 years-11%-2.4M shares
Available history-20%-4.7M shares

CATO has 19M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CATO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.6xQ2 2024: -48.5xQ2 2026: -10.1x
Q4 2023: -5.6xQ2 2024: -48.5xQ2 2026: -10.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-48.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-5.6xNet Cash
Q3 2023-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2023-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2022-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2022-1.3xNet Cash

CATO has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CATO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic2.2Oversold

CATO's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

CATO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCATOSector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

CATO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CATO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.363.8% below
20 week MA$2.7718% below
50 week MA$2.9724% below
100 week MA$3.1628% below
200 week MA$4.9854% below

CATO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 54% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

CATO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$8.20-52%
2021$8.20$16.9+106%
2022$16.9$9.18-46%
2023$9.18$7.14-22%
2024$7.14$3.93-45%
2025$3.93$3.08-22%
2026 YTD$3.08$2.27-26%

CATO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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