BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.
BRLT has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BRLT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
BRLT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BRLT PE Valuation
BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over BRLT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
BRLT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BRLT to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over BRLT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
BRLT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.08 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.27 | -$0.24 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.30 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.25 | -933% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.03 | -250% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.03 | -160% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | -120% |
BRLT lost $0.27 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over BRLT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over BRLT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BRLT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.8M | +2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $115.1M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $99.5M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $124.4M | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $110.3M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $108.9M | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $93.9M | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $119.5M | -3.9% |
BRLT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $113M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.9% | -5.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.8% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2% | +1.1 points |
BRLT's operating margin was 1.7% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BRLT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.9M | +$3.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $16.5M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$19.3M | -$11.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $5.7M | -52% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3K | -100% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.9M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.9M | -$1.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $11.9M | +26% |
BRLT has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over BRLT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BRLT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +414K shares |
| 1 year | +581% | +87.1M shares |
| 3 years | +5.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 5 years | +6.6% | +6.3M shares |
BRLT has 102M diluted shares, up 581% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $96,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $197,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $163,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $200,000 |
BRLT hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BRLT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -107.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -23.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -40.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -20.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -12.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -13.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -9.0x | Net Cash |
BRLT has more cash than debt.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BRLT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.6 | Neutral |
BRLT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BRLT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BRLT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
BRLT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
BRLT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.45 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.34 | 5.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.41 | 9.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.61 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.33 | 45% below |
BRLT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
BRLT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $15.2 | $16.1 | +5.5% |
| 2022 | $16.1 | $4.09 | -75% |
| 2023 | $4.09 | $3.72 | -9% |
| 2024 | $3.72 | $2.04 | -45% |
| 2025 | $2.04 | $1.78 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.78 | $1.27 | -29% |
BRLT has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.