BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

BKE

The Buckle, Inc.

53
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BKE's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 14% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 10x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BKE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$30.61-30%
Fair9.8x$42.53-3.2%
Current10x$43.94—
Forward11x$43.94—
Expensive13x$56.38+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKE has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over BKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BKE's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$53.75
Downside-17%$36.59

Calculated from the latest close: $43.94 on Nov 12.

BKE trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over BKE on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.10-5.4%
Q3 2026$4.34+8.2%
Q2 2026$4.36+12%
Q1 2026$4.14+6.4%
Q4 2025$4.09+4.1%
Q3 2025$4.01-2%
Q2 2025$3.90-7.8%
Q1 2025$3.89-12%
Q4 2024$3.93-14%

BKE earned $4.34 per share over the past year, up 8.2% from the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over BKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.8M+4.6%
Q2 2026$288.7M+6.1%
Q1 2026$399.1M+5.3%
Q4 2025$320.8M+9.3%
Q3 2025$305.7M+8.3%
Q2 2025$272.1M+3.7%
Q1 2025$379.2M-0.8%
Q4 2024$293.6M-3.2%

BKE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $320M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

BKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.9M-64%
Q2 2026$34.7M+77%
Q1 2026$101.4M-8.6%
Q4 2025$38.4M+14%
Q3 2025$46.4M+28%
Q2 2025$19.6M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111M+11%
Q4 2024$33.6M-37%

BKE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

BKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+0.8%+380K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.1M shares
5 years+3.4%+1.7M shares
Available history+4.5%+2.2M shares

BKE has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

BKE has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic53.3Neutral

BKE's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKESector medianRelative
PE10x18x44% below
PE %55478 pts above

BKE has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.30.9% below
20 week MA$43.51.1% above
50 week MA$48.28.9% below
100 week MA$48.08.4% below
200 week MA$43.41.3% above

BKE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

BKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$30.1+13%
2021$30.1$40.9+36%
2022$40.9$45.2+11%
2023$45.2$47.5+5.1%
2024$47.5$51.5+8.4%
2025$51.5$54.3+5.4%
2026 YTD$54.3$43.9-19%

BKE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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