BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

BH-A

Biglari Holdings Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score BH-A yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BH-A Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Strong

BH-A's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BH-A PE Valuation

BH-A has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BH-A Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BH-A to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and BH-A's risk to reward.

BH-A Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1,798.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and BH-A's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BH-A Earnings Per Share

BH-A and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BH-A Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $112M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $91MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $101MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $100MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $112M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.1M+12%
Q2 2026$108.5M+7.9%
Q1 2026$97.5M+2.6%
Q4 2025$99.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$99.7M+10%
Q2 2025$100.6M+10%
Q1 2025$95M+6.2%
Q4 2024$91.1M+0.5%

BH-A has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

BH-A Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.2M-114%
Q2 2026$8.3M-79%
Q1 2026$13.4M+57%
Q4 2025$6.4M-42%
Q3 2025$22.3M+505%
Q2 2025$39.4M+$49.5M
Q1 2025$8.5M-42%
Q4 2024$10.9M-39%

BH-A has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over BH-A on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BH-A Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 2MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.3%+101K shares
1 year+6.7%+152K shares
3 years+6.7%+152K shares
5 years+6.7%+152K shares
Available history+6.7%+152K shares

BH-A has 2M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BH-A Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

BH-A has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BH-A Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

BH-A's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BH-A PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBH-ASector medianRelative
PEN/A18xโ€”

BH-A has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BH-A Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,829.61.7% below
20 week MA$1,880.44.3% below
50 week MA$1,828.31.6% below
100 week MA$1,583.314% above
200 week MA$1,237.445% above

BH-A has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

BH-A Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$599.0$630.0+5.2%
2021$630.0$718.7+14%
2022$718.7$687.8-4.3%
2023$687.8$793.9+15%
2024$793.9$1,268.3+60%
2025$1,268.3$1,841.0+45%
2026 YTD$1,841.0$1,799.0-2.3%

BH-A has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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