BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BGSI
Boyd Group Services Inc.
BGSI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BGSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BGSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $74.46 | — |
| Cheap | 119x | $56.01 | -25% |
| Fair | 142x | $66.59 | -11% |
| Current | 160x | $74.46 | — |
| Expensive | 171x | $80.22 | +7.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BGSI has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over BGSI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
BGSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
BGSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.96 | +743% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.47 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.67 | +8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.74 | -61% |
BGSI has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BGSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $982.9M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $793.9M | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $790.2M | +5% |
| Q2 2025 | $780.4M | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $778.3M | -1% |
| Q4 2024 | $752.3M | +1.7% |
BGSI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2% | -9.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 3% | N/A |
BGSI has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BGSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $88.3M | +1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $96M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.1M | -1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $83.7M | +77% |
| Q2 2025 | $87.4M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $54.3M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $63.2M | -25% |
BGSI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BGSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +68.3K shares |
| 1 year | +30% | +6.4M shares |
BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BGSI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over BGSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BGSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.1x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 4.3x | High |
BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BGSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.0 | Neutral |
BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over BGSI on valuation relative to its sector.
BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BGSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 160x | 18x | 786% above |
| PE % | 81 | 13 | 68 pts above |
BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BGSI has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus BGSI above 0 of 3.
BGSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.8 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $89.3 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $119.2 | 38% below |
BGSI is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 50-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over BGSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BGSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $153.5 | $163.1 | +6.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $163.1 | $74.5 | -54% |
BGSI has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 54% so far in 2026.