BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc.
BDL has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BDL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
BDL's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over BDL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BDL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $26.57 | -54% |
| Fair | 13x | $45.98 | -20% |
| Current | 16x | $57.38 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $64.49 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BDL's PE is in its expensive range at 16x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BDL Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for BDL to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
BDL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.57 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.21 | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.11 | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.71 | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.33 | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.18 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.77 | +49% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.80 | +22% |
BDL has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over BDL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BDL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $56.2M | +7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.5M | +5.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.6M | +4.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $50M | +8.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.2M | +6.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $53.6M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $50.3M | +11% |
| Q3 2024 | $46M | +6.1% |
BDL has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.4% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.7% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.8% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4% | +0.4 points |
BDL's operating margin was 7.1% last quarter, up 1.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BDL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$3.5M | -$1.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M | +$4.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $4.5M | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4M | +546% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.8M | -180% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3M | -$780K |
| Q4 2024 | $7M | +150% |
| Q3 2024 | $376K | -94% |
BDL has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BDL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | 0% | -- |
| 5 years | 0% | -- |
| Available history | 0% | -- |
BDL has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BDL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 388.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
BDL has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BDL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 73.8 | Neutral |
BDL's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BDL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BDL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 79 | 47 | 32 pts above |
BDL has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
BDL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.3 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $47.3 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $38.5 | 49% above |
| 100 week MA | $33.3 | 72% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.4 | 89% above |
BDL has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
BDL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.6 | $19.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $19.9 | $30.5 | +54% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $26.5 | -13% |
| 2023 | $26.5 | $25.7 | -2.9% |
| 2024 | $25.7 | $25.1 | -2.3% |
| 2025 | $25.1 | $29.6 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.6 | $57.4 | +94% |
BDL has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.