BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BBY

Best Buy Co., Inc.

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BBY has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BBY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BBY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA has the edge over BBY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BBY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$66.80-35%
Fair14x$83.80-19%
Forward15x$103—
Expensive17x$104+0.3%
Current17x$103—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBY's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over BBY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

BBY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect BBY's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BBY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BBY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$125.29
Downside-21%$81.27

Calculated from the latest close: $103.41 on Nov 12.

BBY trails BABA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over BBY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BBY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.70Q3 2024: $5.79Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $4.28Q2 2025: $4.10Q3 2025: $3.63Q4 2025: $3.03Q1 2026: $5.04Q2 2026: $5.40Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $7.12
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.70Q3 2024: $5.79Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $4.28Q2 2025: $4.10Q3 2025: $3.63Q4 2025: $3.03Q1 2026: $5.04Q2 2026: $5.40Q3 2026: $6.01Forward: $7.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.12+18%
Q3 2026$6.01+66%
Q2 2026$5.40+32%
Q1 2026$5.04+18%
Q4 2025$3.03-48%
Q3 2025$3.63-37%
Q2 2025$4.10-28%
Q1 2025$4.28-25%
Q4 2024$5.84+0.7%

BBY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.01 over the past year, against $10.32 in late 2021.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over BBY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $14.6BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $13.9BQ2 2025: $8.8BQ3 2025: $9.4BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $13.8BQ2 2026: $8.9BQ3 2026: $9.8B
Q4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $14.6BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $13.9BQ2 2025: $8.8BQ3 2025: $9.4BQ4 2025: $9.7BQ1 2026: $13.8BQ2 2026: $8.9BQ3 2026: $9.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.8B+3.6%
Q2 2026$8.9B+1.9%
Q1 2026$13.8B-1%
Q4 2025$9.7B+2.4%
Q3 2025$9.4B+1.6%
Q2 2025$8.8B-0.9%
Q1 2025$13.9B-4.8%
Q4 2024$9.4B-3.2%

BBY's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $9.8B last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

BBY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$108MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: −$449MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: −$132MQ3 2025: $574MQ4 2025: −$287MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $737M
Q4 2023: −$108MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: −$449MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: −$132MQ3 2025: $574MQ4 2025: −$287MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $737M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$737M+28%
Q2 2026$215M+$347M
Q1 2026$1.1B-19%
Q4 2025-$287M+$162M
Q3 2025$574M+20%
Q2 2025-$132M-3400%
Q1 2025$1.4B+36%
Q4 2024-$449M-$341M

BBY has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

BBY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 218MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 212MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 213M
Q4 2023: 218MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 217MQ3 2024: 217MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 217MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 212MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 213M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.3%+700K shares
3 years-2.9%-6.3M shares
5 years-16%-40.1M shares
Available history-20%-52.5M shares

BBY has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BBY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

BBY has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BBY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

BBY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BBY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBBYSector medianRelative
PE17x18x4.5% below
PE %824735 pts above

BBY has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BBY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$94.69.3% above
20 week MA$89.316% above
50 week MA$76.136% above
100 week MA$75.637% above
200 week MA$77.933% above

BBY has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

BBY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$87.0$102.6+18%
2021$102.6$98.1-4.4%
2022$98.1$81.4-17%
2023$81.4$78.3-3.8%
2024$78.3$88.0+12%
2025$88.0$69.6-21%
2026 YTD$69.6$103.4+49%

BBY has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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